Official Malaysian Meteorological Department forecasts set a minimum of 25°C for Kuala Lumpur on August 26 amid isolated thunderstorms, aligning with BBC and Met Office guidance projecting nighttime lows of 25–26°C. In this equatorial setting, radiative cooling overnight is limited by high humidity and frequent cloud cover, while convective activity can either enhance cooling through downdrafts or suppress it via persistent cloudiness and light winds. Ensemble model spreads reflect this uncertainty, with historical August minima clustering near 24–26°C. Traders weigh these factors against the precise station threshold for resolution, producing tightly matched implied probabilities around 25–26°C as fresh model runs and regional observations arrive before the overnight minimum window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のクアラルンプールの最低気温は?
22°C 43%
25°C 38%
26°C 37%
27°C 27%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
43%
23°C
13%
24°C
24%
25°C
38%
26°C
37%
27°C
27%
28°C
8%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 43%
25°C 38%
26°C 37%
27°C 27%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
43%
23°C
13%
24°C
24%
25°C
38%
26°C
37%
27°C
27%
28°C
8%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Malaysian Meteorological Department forecasts set a minimum of 25°C for Kuala Lumpur on August 26 amid isolated thunderstorms, aligning with BBC and Met Office guidance projecting nighttime lows of 25–26°C. In this equatorial setting, radiative cooling overnight is limited by high humidity and frequent cloud cover, while convective activity can either enhance cooling through downdrafts or suppress it via persistent cloudiness and light winds. Ensemble model spreads reflect this uncertainty, with historical August minima clustering near 24–26°C. Traders weigh these factors against the precise station threshold for resolution, producing tightly matched implied probabilities around 25–26°C as fresh model runs and regional observations arrive before the overnight minimum window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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