**Forecast models for Paris on August 25, 2026, cluster around a daily maximum of 26–29 °C, with the market’s tight distribution between 27 °C (33 %) and 28 °C (26 %) reflecting this narrow range and residual uncertainty from cloud cover and showers.** Official and ensemble guidance (GFS, ECMWF, Met Office, Météo-France analogs) shows highs near 27–28 °C under variable skies and light southwesterly flow, with afternoon instability increasing the chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms that can limit peak insolation. Some runs reach 29–30 °C if convection remains isolated and skies partly clear, while others cap near 26 °C or lower if thicker cloud or earlier rain develops. Historical August averages sit around 24–25 °C, so current conditions represent a modest warm anomaly tempered by Atlantic moisture. With resolution only two days away, the next model cycles and observational updates will sharpen the distinction between these adjacent outcomes; traders are effectively pricing the most probable 1–2 °C window amid typical short-range forecast spread.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のパリの最高気温は？
8月25日のパリの最高気温は？
27°C 36%
28°C 27%
26°C 17%
29°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C
17%
27°C
36%
28°C
27%
29°C
12%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
4%
27°C 36%
28°C 27%
26°C 17%
29°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
8%
26°C
$56 Vol.
17%
27°C
$55 Vol.
36%
28°C
$7 Vol.
27%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
7%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Paris on August 25, 2026, cluster around a daily maximum of 26–29 °C, with the market’s tight distribution between 27 °C (33 %) and 28 °C (26 %) reflecting this narrow range and residual uncertainty from cloud cover and showers.**
Official and ensemble guidance (GFS, ECMWF, Met Office, Météo-France analogs) shows highs near 27–28 °C under variable skies and light southwesterly flow, with afternoon instability increasing the chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms that can limit peak insolation. Some runs reach 29–30 °C if convection remains isolated and skies partly clear, while others cap near 26 °C or lower if thicker cloud or earlier rain develops. Historical August averages sit around 24–25 °C, so current conditions represent a modest warm anomaly tempered by Atlantic moisture.
With resolution only two days away, the next model cycles and observational updates will sharpen the distinction between these adjacent outcomes; traders are effectively pricing the most probable 1–2 °C window amid typical short-range forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$118終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Paris on August 25, 2026, cluster around a daily maximum of 26–29 °C, with the market’s tight distribution between 27 °C (33 %) and 28 °C (26 %) reflecting this narrow range and residual uncertainty from cloud cover and showers.**
Official and ensemble guidance (GFS, ECMWF, Met Office, Météo-France analogs) shows highs near 27–28 °C under variable skies and light southwesterly flow, with afternoon instability increasing the chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms that can limit peak insolation. Some runs reach 29–30 °C if convection remains isolated and skies partly clear, while others cap near 26 °C or lower if thicker cloud or earlier rain develops. Historical August averages sit around 24–25 °C, so current conditions represent a modest warm anomaly tempered by Atlantic moisture.
With resolution only two days away, the next model cycles and observational updates will sharpen the distinction between these adjacent outcomes; traders are effectively pricing the most probable 1–2 °C window amid typical short-range forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$118終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Forecast models for Paris on August 25, 2026, cluster around a daily maximum of 26–29 °C, with the market’s tight distribution between 27 °C (33 %) and 28 °C (26 %) reflecting this narrow range and residual uncertainty from cloud cover and showers.** Official and ensemble guidance (GFS, ECMWF, Met Office, Météo-France analogs) shows highs near 27–28 °C under variable skies and light southwesterly flow, with afternoon instability increasing the chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms that can limit peak insolation. Some runs reach 29–30 °C if convection remains isolated and skies partly clear, while others cap near 26 °C or lower if thicker cloud or earlier rain develops. Historical August averages sit around 24–25 °C, so current conditions represent a modest warm anomaly tempered by Atlantic moisture. With resolution only two days away, the next model cycles and observational updates will sharpen the distinction between these adjacent outcomes; traders are effectively pricing the most probable 1–2 °C window amid typical short-range forecast spread.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問