Recent forecasts from European models and Météo-France indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 25 will likely range from 17–18°C, driven by a mild southerly flow, elevated dew points near 16°C, and extensive cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Thunderstorm activity and light winds further moderate temperature drops, while the broader August pattern—warmer than the 13.8°C climatological average low—reflects persistent anomalous warmth. With model consensus tight but short-range spread possible in boundary-layer details, trader sentiment clusters on 15–17°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat-island effects versus official station readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のパリの最低気温は?
16°C 36%
15℃ 35%
17℃ 25%
14℃ 19%
12℃以下
5%
13℃
11%
14℃
19%
15℃
35%
16°C
36%
17℃
25%
18°C
13%
19°C
6%
20℃
4%
21°C
3%
22°C以上
2%
16°C 36%
15℃ 35%
17℃ 25%
14℃ 19%
12℃以下
5%
13℃
11%
14℃
19%
15℃
35%
16°C
36%
17℃
25%
18°C
13%
19°C
6%
20℃
4%
21°C
3%
22°C以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from European models and Météo-France indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 25 will likely range from 17–18°C, driven by a mild southerly flow, elevated dew points near 16°C, and extensive cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Thunderstorm activity and light winds further moderate temperature drops, while the broader August pattern—warmer than the 13.8°C climatological average low—reflects persistent anomalous warmth. With model consensus tight but short-range spread possible in boundary-layer details, trader sentiment clusters on 15–17°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat-island effects versus official station readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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