Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 25 indicate partly cloudy conditions over Tokyo with maximum temperatures centered in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, driving the tight clustering around 33–34°C outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects are expected to support daytime warming, while variable cloud cover and potential sea-breeze influences introduce uncertainty in peak solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns, but small shifts in timing or moisture could alter afternoon maxima by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical August baselines near 31–32°C, with resolution hinging on official Tokyo observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日の東京の最高気温は？
8月25日の東京の最高気温は？
34°C 34%
33°C 26%
32°C 17%
30°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
29°C or below
1%
30°C
10%
31°C
7%
32°C
17%
33°C
26%
34°C
34%
35°C
12%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 34%
33°C 26%
32°C 17%
30°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
29°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
10%
31°C
$11 Vol.
7%
32°C
$0 Vol.
17%
33°C
$325 Vol.
26%
34°C
$31 Vol.
34%
35°C
$11 Vol.
12%
36°C
$0 Vol.
3%
37°C
$66 Vol.
3%
38°C
$20 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 25 indicate partly cloudy conditions over Tokyo with maximum temperatures centered in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, driving the tight clustering around 33–34°C outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects are expected to support daytime warming, while variable cloud cover and potential sea-breeze influences introduce uncertainty in peak solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns, but small shifts in timing or moisture could alter afternoon maxima by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical August baselines near 31–32°C, with resolution hinging on official Tokyo observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$470終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 25 indicate partly cloudy conditions over Tokyo with maximum temperatures centered in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, driving the tight clustering around 33–34°C outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects are expected to support daytime warming, while variable cloud cover and potential sea-breeze influences introduce uncertainty in peak solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns, but small shifts in timing or moisture could alter afternoon maxima by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical August baselines near 31–32°C, with resolution hinging on official Tokyo observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$470終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 25 indicate partly cloudy conditions over Tokyo with maximum temperatures centered in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, driving the tight clustering around 33–34°C outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects are expected to support daytime warming, while variable cloud cover and potential sea-breeze influences introduce uncertainty in peak solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns, but small shifts in timing or moisture could alter afternoon maxima by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical August baselines near 31–32°C, with resolution hinging on official Tokyo observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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