Recent forecast models from sources like the BBC and Met Office indicate sunny conditions with light easterly winds over Wuhan, sustaining daytime highs near 36–37°C on August 27 amid the city's subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent high pressure and low precipitation risk support this range, consistent with August averages of 33–35°C and occasional peaks above 38°C. Trader consensus clustering on 37–39°C reflects model agreement on minimal cooling from humidity or cloud cover through the short-term window, while lower odds for extremes account for typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution. Updated model runs ahead of the date could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日の武漢の最高気温は？
8月27日の武漢の最高気温は？
38°C 33%
39°C 28%
37°C 26%
36°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
11%
37°C
26%
38°C
33%
39°C
28%
40°C
5%
41°C
6%
42°C or higher
5%
38°C 33%
39°C 28%
37°C 26%
36°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
32°C or below
$361 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$361 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$0 Vol.
1%
35°C
$10 Vol.
3%
36°C
$12 Vol.
11%
37°C
$20 Vol.
26%
38°C
$7 Vol.
33%
39°C
$25 Vol.
28%
40°C
$12 Vol.
5%
41°C
$0 Vol.
6%
42°C or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the BBC and Met Office indicate sunny conditions with light easterly winds over Wuhan, sustaining daytime highs near 36–37°C on August 27 amid the city's subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent high pressure and low precipitation risk support this range, consistent with August averages of 33–35°C and occasional peaks above 38°C. Trader consensus clustering on 37–39°C reflects model agreement on minimal cooling from humidity or cloud cover through the short-term window, while lower odds for extremes account for typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution. Updated model runs ahead of the date could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$808終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the BBC and Met Office indicate sunny conditions with light easterly winds over Wuhan, sustaining daytime highs near 36–37°C on August 27 amid the city's subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent high pressure and low precipitation risk support this range, consistent with August averages of 33–35°C and occasional peaks above 38°C. Trader consensus clustering on 37–39°C reflects model agreement on minimal cooling from humidity or cloud cover through the short-term window, while lower odds for extremes account for typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution. Updated model runs ahead of the date could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$808終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources like the BBC and Met Office indicate sunny conditions with light easterly winds over Wuhan, sustaining daytime highs near 36–37°C on August 27 amid the city's subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent high pressure and low precipitation risk support this range, consistent with August averages of 33–35°C and occasional peaks above 38°C. Trader consensus clustering on 37–39°C reflects model agreement on minimal cooling from humidity or cloud cover through the short-term window, while lower odds for extremes account for typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution. Updated model runs ahead of the date could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問