Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds centers on an 82–85°F high for Los Angeles on August 24, with 82–83°F holding the lead at 37%. This positioning stems from the latest National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance showing modest daytime heating under a weak onshore flow and partial marine-layer influence that caps extreme warmth in the Los Angeles Basin. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of the sea breeze, urban heat-island effects, and any overnight low-cloud clearing that alters the diurnal temperature range. With probabilities closely clustered between 80–87°F, small forecast shifts in model runs expected overnight could readily move the distribution before official observations close the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は？
8月24日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は？
82〜83°F 37%
84〜85°F 28%
80〜81°F 19%
86～87°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
75°F以下
1%
76〜77°F
2%
78〜79°F
7%
80〜81°F
19%
82〜83°F
37%
84〜85°F
28%
86～87°F
11%
88～89°F
3%
90〜91°F
1%
92〜93°F
3%
華氏94度以上
3%
82〜83°F 37%
84〜85°F 28%
80〜81°F 19%
86～87°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
75°F以下
$41 Vol.
1%
76〜77°F
$5 Vol.
2%
78〜79°F
$55 Vol.
7%
80〜81°F
$83 Vol.
19%
82〜83°F
$831 Vol.
37%
84〜85°F
$250 Vol.
28%
86～87°F
$59 Vol.
11%
88～89°F
$41 Vol.
3%
90〜91°F
$36 Vol.
1%
92〜93°F
$5 Vol.
3%
華氏94度以上
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds centers on an 82–85°F high for Los Angeles on August 24, with 82–83°F holding the lead at 37%. This positioning stems from the latest National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance showing modest daytime heating under a weak onshore flow and partial marine-layer influence that caps extreme warmth in the Los Angeles Basin. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of the sea breeze, urban heat-island effects, and any overnight low-cloud clearing that alters the diurnal temperature range. With probabilities closely clustered between 80–87°F, small forecast shifts in model runs expected overnight could readily move the distribution before official observations close the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
音量
$1,411終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds centers on an 82–85°F high for Los Angeles on August 24, with 82–83°F holding the lead at 37%. This positioning stems from the latest National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance showing modest daytime heating under a weak onshore flow and partial marine-layer influence that caps extreme warmth in the Los Angeles Basin. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of the sea breeze, urban heat-island effects, and any overnight low-cloud clearing that alters the diurnal temperature range. With probabilities closely clustered between 80–87°F, small forecast shifts in model runs expected overnight could readily move the distribution before official observations close the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,411終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETTrader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds centers on an 82–85°F high for Los Angeles on August 24, with 82–83°F holding the lead at 37%. This positioning stems from the latest National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance showing modest daytime heating under a weak onshore flow and partial marine-layer influence that caps extreme warmth in the Los Angeles Basin. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of the sea breeze, urban heat-island effects, and any overnight low-cloud clearing that alters the diurnal temperature range. With probabilities closely clustered between 80–87°F, small forecast shifts in model runs expected overnight could readily move the distribution before official observations close the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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