Current forecast models for Austin show significant uncertainty in overnight low temperatures on August 24 amid a persistent heat dome and potential tropical moisture influences, driving closely matched market odds between 73°F or below and 92°F or higher. Key scientific factors include variations in radiative cooling rates, dew point levels near 70°F limiting temperature drops, light winds reducing mixing, and cloud cover from any incoming systems. Historical August climatology places average lows near 75°F, but recent above-normal heat and model spreads in steering patterns create divergence in projected minima. Updated National Weather Service and NOAA runs ahead of the date will likely clarify the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のオースティンの最低気温は?
92°F以上 91%
73°F以下 48%
84~85°F 37%
86~87°F 37%
73°F以下
48%
74~75°F
20%
76-77°F
19%
78~79°F
19%
80~81°F
19%
82~83°F
19%
84~85°F
37%
86~87°F
37%
88~89°F
37%
90~91°F
37%
92°F以上
91%
92°F以上 91%
73°F以下 48%
84~85°F 37%
86~87°F 37%
73°F以下
48%
74~75°F
20%
76-77°F
19%
78~79°F
19%
80~81°F
19%
82~83°F
19%
84~85°F
37%
86~87°F
37%
88~89°F
37%
90~91°F
37%
92°F以上
91%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models for Austin show significant uncertainty in overnight low temperatures on August 24 amid a persistent heat dome and potential tropical moisture influences, driving closely matched market odds between 73°F or below and 92°F or higher. Key scientific factors include variations in radiative cooling rates, dew point levels near 70°F limiting temperature drops, light winds reducing mixing, and cloud cover from any incoming systems. Historical August climatology places average lows near 75°F, but recent above-normal heat and model spreads in steering patterns create divergence in projected minima. Updated National Weather Service and NOAA runs ahead of the date will likely clarify the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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