**Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a Monday night low in the upper 50s to low 60s°F for Chicago on August 24, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds.** This setup favors radiational cooling overnight after highs in the mid-70s, but Chicago’s proximity to Lake Michigan provides some moderation while dew points in the 50s limit how far temperatures can drop. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 66°F or higher and 47°F or below, alongside clustered probabilities around the 52–65°F bins, reflects model uncertainty in the precise minimum and the sensitivity of overnight lows to small changes in cloud cover, wind speed, or lake breeze timing. Historical August minima average near 65°F, so the current pattern represents modestly cooler-than-normal conditions without extreme cold-air advection. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely drive any near-term shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のシカゴの最低気温は？
8月24日のシカゴの最低気温は？
47°F以下 93%
66°F以上 47%
58〜59°F 37%
48～49°F 36%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
47°F以下
93%
48～49°F
36%
50〜51°F
36%
52〜53°F
19%
54～55°F
19%
56〜57°F
19%
58〜59°F
28%
60〜61°F
19%
62〜63°F
19%
64〜65°F
19%
66°F以上
47%
47°F以下 93%
66°F以上 47%
58〜59°F 37%
48～49°F 36%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
47°F以下
$5 Vol.
93%
48～49°F
$5 Vol.
36%
50〜51°F
$5 Vol.
36%
52〜53°F
$0 Vol.
19%
54～55°F
$0 Vol.
19%
56〜57°F
$0 Vol.
19%
58〜59°F
$5 Vol.
28%
60〜61°F
$0 Vol.
19%
62〜63°F
$0 Vol.
19%
64〜65°F
$15 Vol.
19%
66°F以上
$10 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a Monday night low in the upper 50s to low 60s°F for Chicago on August 24, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds.** This setup favors radiational cooling overnight after highs in the mid-70s, but Chicago’s proximity to Lake Michigan provides some moderation while dew points in the 50s limit how far temperatures can drop.
The near-even split in market-implied odds between 66°F or higher and 47°F or below, alongside clustered probabilities around the 52–65°F bins, reflects model uncertainty in the precise minimum and the sensitivity of overnight lows to small changes in cloud cover, wind speed, or lake breeze timing. Historical August minima average near 65°F, so the current pattern represents modestly cooler-than-normal conditions without extreme cold-air advection. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely drive any near-term shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
音量
$45終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a Monday night low in the upper 50s to low 60s°F for Chicago on August 24, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds.** This setup favors radiational cooling overnight after highs in the mid-70s, but Chicago’s proximity to Lake Michigan provides some moderation while dew points in the 50s limit how far temperatures can drop.
The near-even split in market-implied odds between 66°F or higher and 47°F or below, alongside clustered probabilities around the 52–65°F bins, reflects model uncertainty in the precise minimum and the sensitivity of overnight lows to small changes in cloud cover, wind speed, or lake breeze timing. Historical August minima average near 65°F, so the current pattern represents modestly cooler-than-normal conditions without extreme cold-air advection. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely drive any near-term shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$45終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET**Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a Monday night low in the upper 50s to low 60s°F for Chicago on August 24, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds.** This setup favors radiational cooling overnight after highs in the mid-70s, but Chicago’s proximity to Lake Michigan provides some moderation while dew points in the 50s limit how far temperatures can drop. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 66°F or higher and 47°F or below, alongside clustered probabilities around the 52–65°F bins, reflects model uncertainty in the precise minimum and the sensitivity of overnight lows to small changes in cloud cover, wind speed, or lake breeze timing. Historical August minima average near 65°F, so the current pattern represents modestly cooler-than-normal conditions without extreme cold-air advection. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely drive any near-term shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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