Current forecast models indicate Mexico City highs near 19–22°C on August 24 amid the rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover frequently suppress peak temperatures at the city's high elevation. Scattered thunderstorms and variable insolation create narrow differences between 20°C and 21°C outcomes, with traders weighting model consensus on timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture. Historical August averages near 23°C provide baseline context, yet recent daily observations show frequent cooling from showers. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the tightly matched probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
20℃ 46%
21°C 32%
17℃ 14%
19℃ 14%
15℃以下
1%
16℃
2%
17℃
14%
18°C
7%
19℃
14%
20℃
35%
21°C
32%
22℃
11%
23℃
9%
24℃
6%
25℃以上
1%
20℃ 46%
21°C 32%
17℃ 14%
19℃ 14%
15℃以下
1%
16℃
2%
17℃
14%
18°C
7%
19℃
14%
20℃
35%
21°C
32%
22℃
11%
23℃
9%
24℃
6%
25℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models indicate Mexico City highs near 19–22°C on August 24 amid the rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover frequently suppress peak temperatures at the city's high elevation. Scattered thunderstorms and variable insolation create narrow differences between 20°C and 21°C outcomes, with traders weighting model consensus on timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture. Historical August averages near 23°C provide baseline context, yet recent daily observations show frequent cooling from showers. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the tightly matched probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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