Mexico City's high-altitude basin location produces typical late-August overnight lows near 13°C, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 12–13°C because current forecast models show minimal deviation from seasonal baselines amid ongoing rainy-season cloud cover. Radiative cooling at night is moderated by frequent afternoon showers and high humidity that reduce temperature drops, while light winds and partial clearing can allow slightly lower readings near 11°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical climatology showing rare excursions below 10°C or above 14°C in August, with final resolution depending on the official minimum recorded at central monitoring stations before dawn on the 24th.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のメキシコシティの最低気温は?
12°C 50%
11℃ 48%
9°C以下 <1%
10℃ <1%
$1,980 Vol.
$1,980 Vol.
9°C以下
<1%
10℃
<1%
11℃
48%
12°C
50%
13℃
47%
14℃
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃
<1%
19℃以上
<1%
12°C 50%
11℃ 48%
9°C以下 <1%
10℃ <1%
$1,980 Vol.
$1,980 Vol.
9°C以下
<1%
10℃
<1%
11℃
48%
12°C
50%
13℃
47%
14℃
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃
<1%
19℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mexico City's high-altitude basin location produces typical late-August overnight lows near 13°C, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 12–13°C because current forecast models show minimal deviation from seasonal baselines amid ongoing rainy-season cloud cover. Radiative cooling at night is moderated by frequent afternoon showers and high humidity that reduce temperature drops, while light winds and partial clearing can allow slightly lower readings near 11°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical climatology showing rare excursions below 10°C or above 14°C in August, with final resolution depending on the official minimum recorded at central monitoring stations before dawn on the 24th.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問