Trader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market for August 23 clusters tightly around 74–77°F, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing onshore flow off Lake Michigan moderating peak readings below the 82°F seasonal normal. Recent surface analyses indicate northwest winds and partial cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while ensemble runs highlight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1–2°F. With resolution tomorrow, traders weigh the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from upstream stations against historical analogs of cool late-summer days influenced by Great Lakes effects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のシカゴの最高気温は？
8月23日のシカゴの最高気温は？
74〜75°F 45%
76～77°F 35%
72〜73°F 12%
78〜79°F 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
65°F以下
<1%
66～67°F
1%
68～69°F
1%
70～71°F
2%
72〜73°F
12%
74〜75°F
45%
76～77°F
35%
78〜79°F
10%
80～81°F
2%
82～83°F
<1%
84°F以上
<1%
74〜75°F 45%
76～77°F 35%
72〜73°F 12%
78〜79°F 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
65°F以下
$213 Vol.
<1%
66～67°F
$170 Vol.
1%
68～69°F
$208 Vol.
1%
70～71°F
$163 Vol.
2%
72〜73°F
$366 Vol.
12%
74〜75°F
$656 Vol.
45%
76～77°F
$352 Vol.
35%
78〜79°F
$439 Vol.
10%
80～81°F
$219 Vol.
2%
82～83°F
$115 Vol.
<1%
84°F以上
$90 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market for August 23 clusters tightly around 74–77°F, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing onshore flow off Lake Michigan moderating peak readings below the 82°F seasonal normal. Recent surface analyses indicate northwest winds and partial cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while ensemble runs highlight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1–2°F. With resolution tomorrow, traders weigh the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from upstream stations against historical analogs of cool late-summer days influenced by Great Lakes effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
音量
$2,993終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market for August 23 clusters tightly around 74–77°F, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing onshore flow off Lake Michigan moderating peak readings below the 82°F seasonal normal. Recent surface analyses indicate northwest winds and partial cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while ensemble runs highlight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1–2°F. With resolution tomorrow, traders weigh the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from upstream stations against historical analogs of cool late-summer days influenced by Great Lakes effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,993終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETTrader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market for August 23 clusters tightly around 74–77°F, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing onshore flow off Lake Michigan moderating peak readings below the 82°F seasonal normal. Recent surface analyses indicate northwest winds and partial cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while ensemble runs highlight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1–2°F. With resolution tomorrow, traders weigh the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from upstream stations against historical analogs of cool late-summer days influenced by Great Lakes effects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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