Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the San Francisco Bay Area recorded a daily minimum temperature of 58–59°F on August 24, anchoring the market’s 100% implied probability on that bin. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow suppressed overnight radiative cooling, producing values near the upper end of the climatological August low range (typically 54–60°F). Model guidance and surface analyses showed no heat wave or clear-sky anomaly that would have driven readings lower or higher. Resolution hinges on the designated station’s final verified data; minor adjustments from quality control or use of an alternate site remain the only realistic paths for any shift, though current consensus across reporting networks strongly supports the observed range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のサンフランシスコの最低気温は？
8月24日のサンフランシスコの最低気温は？
58〜59°F 100.0%
56～57°F 1.0%
49°F以下 <1%
50～51°F <1%
$3,703 Vol.
$3,703 Vol.
2026/08/24
49°F以下
いいえ
50～51°F
いいえ
52～53°F
いいえ
54〜55°F
いいえ
56～57°F
いいえ
58〜59°F
はい
60〜61°F
いいえ
62～63°F
いいえ
64〜65°F
いいえ
66〜67°F
いいえ
68°F以上
いいえ
58〜59°F 100.0%
56～57°F 1.0%
49°F以下 <1%
50～51°F <1%
$3,703 Vol.
$3,703 Vol.
2026/08/24
49°F以下
$310 Vol.
いいえ
50～51°F
$275 Vol.
いいえ
52～53°F
$279 Vol.
いいえ
54〜55°F
$279 Vol.
いいえ
56～57°F
$32 Vol.
いいえ
58〜59°F
$290 Vol.
はい
60〜61°F
$344 Vol.
いいえ
62～63°F
$355 Vol.
いいえ
64〜65°F
$305 Vol.
いいえ
66〜67°F
$124 Vol.
いいえ
68°F以上
$1,110 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the San Francisco Bay Area recorded a daily minimum temperature of 58–59°F on August 24, anchoring the market’s 100% implied probability on that bin. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow suppressed overnight radiative cooling, producing values near the upper end of the climatological August low range (typically 54–60°F). Model guidance and surface analyses showed no heat wave or clear-sky anomaly that would have driven readings lower or higher. Resolution hinges on the designated station’s final verified data; minor adjustments from quality control or use of an alternate site remain the only realistic paths for any shift, though current consensus across reporting networks strongly supports the observed range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
音量
$3,703終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the San Francisco Bay Area recorded a daily minimum temperature of 58–59°F on August 24, anchoring the market’s 100% implied probability on that bin. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow suppressed overnight radiative cooling, producing values near the upper end of the climatological August low range (typically 54–60°F). Model guidance and surface analyses showed no heat wave or clear-sky anomaly that would have driven readings lower or higher. Resolution hinges on the designated station’s final verified data; minor adjustments from quality control or use of an alternate site remain the only realistic paths for any shift, though current consensus across reporting networks strongly supports the observed range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,703終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the San Francisco Bay Area recorded a daily minimum temperature of 58–59°F on August 24, anchoring the market’s 100% implied probability on that bin. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow suppressed overnight radiative cooling, producing values near the upper end of the climatological August low range (typically 54–60°F). Model guidance and surface analyses showed no heat wave or clear-sky anomaly that would have driven readings lower or higher. Resolution hinges on the designated station’s final verified data; minor adjustments from quality control or use of an alternate site remain the only realistic paths for any shift, though current consensus across reporting networks strongly supports the observed range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問