Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 28–30°C in Chengdu on August 29 amid widespread cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, keeping leading market probabilities tightly clustered around these outcomes. Persistent moisture from regional monsoon influences, combined with light northerly winds and high humidity near 70–80%, limits surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling during precipitation episodes. Official guidance notes 70–85% rain chances that could cap the daily maximum depending on timing and intensity, while historical late-August baselines for the Sichuan Basin average 30–32°C under clearer skies. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine the peak temperature threshold and shift trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日の成都の最高気温は？
8月29日の成都の最高気温は？
29°C 22%
28°C 22%
30°C 17%
27°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
15%
28°C
22%
29°C
22%
30°C
17%
31°C
10%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 22%
28°C 22%
30°C 17%
27°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
24°C or below
$91 Vol.
1%
25°C
$291 Vol.
2%
26°C
$298 Vol.
6%
27°C
$298 Vol.
15%
28°C
$356 Vol.
22%
29°C
$267 Vol.
22%
30°C
$514 Vol.
17%
31°C
$506 Vol.
10%
32°C
$246 Vol.
7%
33°C
$489 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$479 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 28–30°C in Chengdu on August 29 amid widespread cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, keeping leading market probabilities tightly clustered around these outcomes. Persistent moisture from regional monsoon influences, combined with light northerly winds and high humidity near 70–80%, limits surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling during precipitation episodes. Official guidance notes 70–85% rain chances that could cap the daily maximum depending on timing and intensity, while historical late-August baselines for the Sichuan Basin average 30–32°C under clearer skies. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine the peak temperature threshold and shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$3,836終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 28–30°C in Chengdu on August 29 amid widespread cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, keeping leading market probabilities tightly clustered around these outcomes. Persistent moisture from regional monsoon influences, combined with light northerly winds and high humidity near 70–80%, limits surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling during precipitation episodes. Official guidance notes 70–85% rain chances that could cap the daily maximum depending on timing and intensity, while historical late-August baselines for the Sichuan Basin average 30–32°C under clearer skies. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine the peak temperature threshold and shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,836終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 28–30°C in Chengdu on August 29 amid widespread cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, keeping leading market probabilities tightly clustered around these outcomes. Persistent moisture from regional monsoon influences, combined with light northerly winds and high humidity near 70–80%, limits surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling during precipitation episodes. Official guidance notes 70–85% rain chances that could cap the daily maximum depending on timing and intensity, while historical late-August baselines for the Sichuan Basin average 30–32°C under clearer skies. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine the peak temperature threshold and shift trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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