**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and affiliates currently project a high temperature in the low 80s for New York City on August 27, 2026, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes.** Partly sunny skies early in the day are expected to give way to increasing clouds, showers, and thunderstorms by afternoon, with a 60-70% rain chance and south winds of 10-15 mph gusting higher. This setup, combined with high humidity, supports highs around 81°F at Central Park or LaGuardia, consistent with the long-term average of 81.8°F for the date. Recent August conditions have featured variable temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms amid frequent moisture, limiting extreme heat. The 80-83°F range captures the bulk of model consensus and historical analogs for similar late-summer patterns, while lower or higher bins reflect uncertainty around exact storm timing and intensity that could shift the peak by a degree or two. Traders appear to be weighting official guidance and the moderating influence of convection heavily in this near-term resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
8月27日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
4%
88°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
69°F or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$22 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$86 Vol.
14%
80-81°F
$52 Vol.
45%
82-83°F
$47 Vol.
29%
84-85°F
$229 Vol.
12%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
4%
88°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and affiliates currently project a high temperature in the low 80s for New York City on August 27, 2026, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes.**
Partly sunny skies early in the day are expected to give way to increasing clouds, showers, and thunderstorms by afternoon, with a 60-70% rain chance and south winds of 10-15 mph gusting higher. This setup, combined with high humidity, supports highs around 81°F at Central Park or LaGuardia, consistent with the long-term average of 81.8°F for the date. Recent August conditions have featured variable temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms amid frequent moisture, limiting extreme heat.
The 80-83°F range captures the bulk of model consensus and historical analogs for similar late-summer patterns, while lower or higher bins reflect uncertainty around exact storm timing and intensity that could shift the peak by a degree or two. Traders appear to be weighting official guidance and the moderating influence of convection heavily in this near-term resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
音量
$437終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and affiliates currently project a high temperature in the low 80s for New York City on August 27, 2026, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes.**
Partly sunny skies early in the day are expected to give way to increasing clouds, showers, and thunderstorms by afternoon, with a 60-70% rain chance and south winds of 10-15 mph gusting higher. This setup, combined with high humidity, supports highs around 81°F at Central Park or LaGuardia, consistent with the long-term average of 81.8°F for the date. Recent August conditions have featured variable temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms amid frequent moisture, limiting extreme heat.
The 80-83°F range captures the bulk of model consensus and historical analogs for similar late-summer patterns, while lower or higher bins reflect uncertainty around exact storm timing and intensity that could shift the peak by a degree or two. Traders appear to be weighting official guidance and the moderating influence of convection heavily in this near-term resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$437終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and affiliates currently project a high temperature in the low 80s for New York City on August 27, 2026, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes.** Partly sunny skies early in the day are expected to give way to increasing clouds, showers, and thunderstorms by afternoon, with a 60-70% rain chance and south winds of 10-15 mph gusting higher. This setup, combined with high humidity, supports highs around 81°F at Central Park or LaGuardia, consistent with the long-term average of 81.8°F for the date. Recent August conditions have featured variable temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms amid frequent moisture, limiting extreme heat. The 80-83°F range captures the bulk of model consensus and historical analogs for similar late-summer patterns, while lower or higher bins reflect uncertainty around exact storm timing and intensity that could shift the peak by a degree or two. Traders appear to be weighting official guidance and the moderating influence of convection heavily in this near-term resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問