Forecast models from the UK Met Office and other agencies show London’s maximum temperature on August 26 likely reaching 25–26°C under increasing cloud cover and light showers as low pressure approaches from the southwest. Easterly winds shifting southerly will raise humidity while limiting solar heating, keeping values close to seasonal norms rather than the hotter spells seen earlier in the month. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these thresholds, with small variations in timing or intensity of showers able to tip the daily high between 25°C and 27°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model runs heavily, producing tightly matched implied probabilities for the top outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のロンドンの最高気温は？
8月26日のロンドンの最高気温は？
25°C 34%
26°C 33%
27°C 18%
24°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
9%
25°C
34%
26°C
33%
27°C
18%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 34%
26°C 33%
27°C 18%
24°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
22°C or below
$34 Vol.
1%
23°C
$671 Vol.
4%
24°C
$1,666 Vol.
9%
25°C
$1,512 Vol.
34%
26°C
$792 Vol.
33%
27°C
$1,600 Vol.
18%
28°C
$496 Vol.
5%
29°C
$732 Vol.
2%
30°C
$296 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$440 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$440 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the UK Met Office and other agencies show London’s maximum temperature on August 26 likely reaching 25–26°C under increasing cloud cover and light showers as low pressure approaches from the southwest. Easterly winds shifting southerly will raise humidity while limiting solar heating, keeping values close to seasonal norms rather than the hotter spells seen earlier in the month. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these thresholds, with small variations in timing or intensity of showers able to tip the daily high between 25°C and 27°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model runs heavily, producing tightly matched implied probabilities for the top outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
音量
$8,679終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the UK Met Office and other agencies show London’s maximum temperature on August 26 likely reaching 25–26°C under increasing cloud cover and light showers as low pressure approaches from the southwest. Easterly winds shifting southerly will raise humidity while limiting solar heating, keeping values close to seasonal norms rather than the hotter spells seen earlier in the month. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these thresholds, with small variations in timing or intensity of showers able to tip the daily high between 25°C and 27°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model runs heavily, producing tightly matched implied probabilities for the top outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$8,679終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETForecast models from the UK Met Office and other agencies show London’s maximum temperature on August 26 likely reaching 25–26°C under increasing cloud cover and light showers as low pressure approaches from the southwest. Easterly winds shifting southerly will raise humidity while limiting solar heating, keeping values close to seasonal norms rather than the hotter spells seen earlier in the month. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these thresholds, with small variations in timing or intensity of showers able to tip the daily high between 25°C and 27°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model runs heavily, producing tightly matched implied probabilities for the top outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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