**Current forecasts for Toronto on August 24, 2026, center on a daily maximum of 18–20°C under cloudy skies with showers, aligning closely with the market’s leading probabilities (19°C at 29%, 20°C at 27.5%, 18°C at 24%).** Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from a passing weather system suppress daytime heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while westerly to southwesterly winds advect cooler air. Official guidance from Environment Canada and numerical models shows highs near 18–20°C (roughly 64–68°F), well below the late-August climatological average of ~25–26°C. Model consensus remains tight on the overall cool, moist pattern, but small differences in shower timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread among the top three outcomes. Later updates from agencies such as Environment Canada or refined high-resolution runs could shift probabilities if clearing occurs earlier or rainfall is lighter than expected. Historical precedent shows August 24 highs have ranged widely, yet the current synoptic setup strongly favors this cooler cluster.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のトロントの最高気温は?
19°C 30%
20°C 29%
18°C 21%
17°C 10%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
10%
18°C
21%
19°C
30%
20°C
29%
21°C
9%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 30%
20°C 29%
18°C 21%
17°C 10%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
10%
18°C
21%
19°C
30%
20°C
29%
21°C
9%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts for Toronto on August 24, 2026, center on a daily maximum of 18–20°C under cloudy skies with showers, aligning closely with the market’s leading probabilities (19°C at 29%, 20°C at 27.5%, 18°C at 24%).** Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from a passing weather system suppress daytime heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while westerly to southwesterly winds advect cooler air. Official guidance from Environment Canada and numerical models shows highs near 18–20°C (roughly 64–68°F), well below the late-August climatological average of ~25–26°C. Model consensus remains tight on the overall cool, moist pattern, but small differences in shower timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread among the top three outcomes. Later updates from agencies such as Environment Canada or refined high-resolution runs could shift probabilities if clearing occurs earlier or rainfall is lighter than expected. Historical precedent shows August 24 highs have ranged widely, yet the current synoptic setup strongly favors this cooler cluster.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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