Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and German Weather Service models indicate a maximum temperature of 22–24°C for Munich on August 24 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market's heavy weighting toward these outcomes. Recent warm anomalies, including verified highs of 32–35°C earlier in the month, have given way to a seasonal cooling trend consistent with late-August climatology, where average daily maxima hover near 23°C. Model spread and potential for localized heating under variable cloud cover introduce the modest probability mass around 25°C, while probabilities for 26°C or higher remain low due to limited moisture and stable atmospheric conditions. Updated high-resolution runs and official DWD guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
8月24日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
24°C 38%
23°C 26%
25°C 20%
22°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
13%
23°C
26%
24°C
38%
25°C
20%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
4%
24°C 38%
23°C 26%
25°C 20%
22°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
19°C
$5 Vol.
1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$147 Vol.
13%
23°C
$434 Vol.
26%
24°C
$102 Vol.
38%
25°C
$38 Vol.
20%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$20 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and German Weather Service models indicate a maximum temperature of 22–24°C for Munich on August 24 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market's heavy weighting toward these outcomes. Recent warm anomalies, including verified highs of 32–35°C earlier in the month, have given way to a seasonal cooling trend consistent with late-August climatology, where average daily maxima hover near 23°C. Model spread and potential for localized heating under variable cloud cover introduce the modest probability mass around 25°C, while probabilities for 26°C or higher remain low due to limited moisture and stable atmospheric conditions. Updated high-resolution runs and official DWD guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
音量
$760終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and German Weather Service models indicate a maximum temperature of 22–24°C for Munich on August 24 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market's heavy weighting toward these outcomes. Recent warm anomalies, including verified highs of 32–35°C earlier in the month, have given way to a seasonal cooling trend consistent with late-August climatology, where average daily maxima hover near 23°C. Model spread and potential for localized heating under variable cloud cover introduce the modest probability mass around 25°C, while probabilities for 26°C or higher remain low due to limited moisture and stable atmospheric conditions. Updated high-resolution runs and official DWD guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$760終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and German Weather Service models indicate a maximum temperature of 22–24°C for Munich on August 24 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market's heavy weighting toward these outcomes. Recent warm anomalies, including verified highs of 32–35°C earlier in the month, have given way to a seasonal cooling trend consistent with late-August climatology, where average daily maxima hover near 23°C. Model spread and potential for localized heating under variable cloud cover introduce the modest probability mass around 25°C, while probabilities for 26°C or higher remain low due to limited moisture and stable atmospheric conditions. Updated high-resolution runs and official DWD guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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