Trader consensus shows near-even odds between 30°C and 31°C as the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26, reflecting substantial short-range forecast uncertainty. Key differentiating factors include variability in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, potential cloud cover or scattered showers tied to the monsoon trough, and steering flow from the South China Sea that could modulate urban heat retention. Ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS typically diverges by 1–2°C at this lead time due to sensitivity in sea-surface temperature anomalies and low-level wind patterns. The Hong Kong Observatory’s next updated forecast and fresh observational data will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日の香港の最高気温は？
8月26日の香港の最高気温は？
30°C 30%
31°C 30%
32°C 17%
28°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
24°C or below
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
7%
30°C
30%
31°C
30%
32°C
17%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
4%
30°C 30%
31°C 30%
32°C 17%
28°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$5 Vol.
2%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$140 Vol.
7%
30°C
$0 Vol.
30%
31°C
$0 Vol.
30%
32°C
$0 Vol.
17%
33°C
$0 Vol.
6%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus shows near-even odds between 30°C and 31°C as the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26, reflecting substantial short-range forecast uncertainty. Key differentiating factors include variability in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, potential cloud cover or scattered showers tied to the monsoon trough, and steering flow from the South China Sea that could modulate urban heat retention. Ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS typically diverges by 1–2°C at this lead time due to sensitivity in sea-surface temperature anomalies and low-level wind patterns. The Hong Kong Observatory’s next updated forecast and fresh observational data will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$15終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus shows near-even odds between 30°C and 31°C as the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26, reflecting substantial short-range forecast uncertainty. Key differentiating factors include variability in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, potential cloud cover or scattered showers tied to the monsoon trough, and steering flow from the South China Sea that could modulate urban heat retention. Ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS typically diverges by 1–2°C at this lead time due to sensitivity in sea-surface temperature anomalies and low-level wind patterns. The Hong Kong Observatory’s next updated forecast and fresh observational data will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$15終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows near-even odds between 30°C and 31°C as the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26, reflecting substantial short-range forecast uncertainty. Key differentiating factors include variability in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, potential cloud cover or scattered showers tied to the monsoon trough, and steering flow from the South China Sea that could modulate urban heat retention. Ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS typically diverges by 1–2°C at this lead time due to sensitivity in sea-surface temperature anomalies and low-level wind patterns. The Hong Kong Observatory’s next updated forecast and fresh observational data will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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