Forecast models for Guangzhou on August 28 point to a high near 34–35 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and showers, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Persistent monsoon moisture and high humidity are expected to limit daytime heating, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed rainfall could briefly push readings toward 36 °C. Historical August maxima average 33 °C, with the all-time record at 36.2 °C, yet late-month convective activity often caps peaks below that threshold. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on precipitation timing and intensity against the narrow window for stronger insolation, leaving lower outcomes (≤33 °C) and extremes (≥37 °C) thinly traded amid the inherent variability of short-range tropical forecasts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日の広州の最高気温は?
35°C 42%
36℃ 18%
34°C 17%
33°C 10%
27℃以下
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
1%
30℃
2%
31℃
5%
32℃
6%
33°C
10%
34°C
17%
35°C
29%
36℃
18%
37℃以上
6%
35°C 42%
36℃ 18%
34°C 17%
33°C 10%
27℃以下
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
1%
30℃
2%
31℃
5%
32℃
6%
33°C
10%
34°C
17%
35°C
29%
36℃
18%
37℃以上
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models for Guangzhou on August 28 point to a high near 34–35 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and showers, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Persistent monsoon moisture and high humidity are expected to limit daytime heating, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed rainfall could briefly push readings toward 36 °C. Historical August maxima average 33 °C, with the all-time record at 36.2 °C, yet late-month convective activity often caps peaks below that threshold. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on precipitation timing and intensity against the narrow window for stronger insolation, leaving lower outcomes (≤33 °C) and extremes (≥37 °C) thinly traded amid the inherent variability of short-range tropical forecasts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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