Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, show Warsaw under stable high pressure with clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southeast winds on August 28, supporting daytime heating to a maximum near 25–27°C. Consensus highs cluster around 24–27°C across sources, with limited diurnal range and negligible precipitation risk, positioning these bins as market leaders at 40%, 27%, and 23% implied probability. Minor model spread in peak timing or local boundary-layer effects sustains uncertainty between 25°C and 27°C, while stronger warming or increased cloud cover would be required to shift odds meaningfully toward 28°C or higher. Updated runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
8月28日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
26°C 40%
25°C 27%
27°C 25%
24°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
21°C or below
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
27%
26°C
40%
27°C
25%
28°C
8%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 40%
25°C 27%
27°C 25%
24°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
22°C
$27 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
3%
24°C
$0 Vol.
9%
25°C
$7 Vol.
27%
26°C
$4 Vol.
40%
27°C
$4 Vol.
25%
28°C
$0 Vol.
8%
29°C
$5 Vol.
5%
30°C
$5 Vol.
3%
31°C or higher
$49 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, show Warsaw under stable high pressure with clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southeast winds on August 28, supporting daytime heating to a maximum near 25–27°C. Consensus highs cluster around 24–27°C across sources, with limited diurnal range and negligible precipitation risk, positioning these bins as market leaders at 40%, 27%, and 23% implied probability. Minor model spread in peak timing or local boundary-layer effects sustains uncertainty between 25°C and 27°C, while stronger warming or increased cloud cover would be required to shift odds meaningfully toward 28°C or higher. Updated runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$106終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, show Warsaw under stable high pressure with clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southeast winds on August 28, supporting daytime heating to a maximum near 25–27°C. Consensus highs cluster around 24–27°C across sources, with limited diurnal range and negligible precipitation risk, positioning these bins as market leaders at 40%, 27%, and 23% implied probability. Minor model spread in peak timing or local boundary-layer effects sustains uncertainty between 25°C and 27°C, while stronger warming or increased cloud cover would be required to shift odds meaningfully toward 28°C or higher. Updated runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$106終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, show Warsaw under stable high pressure with clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southeast winds on August 28, supporting daytime heating to a maximum near 25–27°C. Consensus highs cluster around 24–27°C across sources, with limited diurnal range and negligible precipitation risk, positioning these bins as market leaders at 40%, 27%, and 23% implied probability. Minor model spread in peak timing or local boundary-layer effects sustains uncertainty between 25°C and 27°C, while stronger warming or increased cloud cover would be required to shift odds meaningfully toward 28°C or higher. Updated runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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