**Clear, high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly flow are the main driver keeping the overnight low near 12–15 °C.** Multiple short-range model runs (GFS, ICON, ECMWF) show skies clearing after Aug 25, allowing efficient nocturnal radiative cooling over Warsaw’s urban heat island while weak NE winds (5–8 km/h) limit mixing and advection of warmer maritime air. Dew points near 10–12 °C support the mid-teens minimum; any increase in cloud cover or wind speed from a slightly stronger high would push readings higher, whereas drier air and calmer conditions could shave a degree or two lower. Historical August climatology (average low ~15 °C) and the recent cool spell (lows 12–14 °C) reinforce the consensus range, leaving the market’s near-equal weighting of the extreme tails (≤7 °C and ≥17 °C) largely as a reflection of residual ensemble spread rather than current guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
8月26日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
7°C or below 55%
17°C or higher 55%
10°C 49%
11°C 48%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
7°C or below
55%
8°C
37%
9°C
44%
10°C
49%
11°C
48%
12°C
47%
13°C
44%
14°C
44%
15°C
2%
16°C
37%
17°C or higher
55%
7°C or below 55%
17°C or higher 55%
10°C 49%
11°C 48%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
7°C or below
$0 Vol.
55%
8°C
$0 Vol.
37%
9°C
$0 Vol.
44%
10°C
$0 Vol.
49%
11°C
$0 Vol.
48%
12°C
$0 Vol.
47%
13°C
$0 Vol.
44%
14°C
$0 Vol.
44%
15°C
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C
$0 Vol.
37%
17°C or higher
$0 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear, high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly flow are the main driver keeping the overnight low near 12–15 °C.** Multiple short-range model runs (GFS, ICON, ECMWF) show skies clearing after Aug 25, allowing efficient nocturnal radiative cooling over Warsaw’s urban heat island while weak NE winds (5–8 km/h) limit mixing and advection of warmer maritime air. Dew points near 10–12 °C support the mid-teens minimum; any increase in cloud cover or wind speed from a slightly stronger high would push readings higher, whereas drier air and calmer conditions could shave a degree or two lower. Historical August climatology (average low ~15 °C) and the recent cool spell (lows 12–14 °C) reinforce the consensus range, leaving the market’s near-equal weighting of the extreme tails (≤7 °C and ≥17 °C) largely as a reflection of residual ensemble spread rather than current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear, high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly flow are the main driver keeping the overnight low near 12–15 °C.** Multiple short-range model runs (GFS, ICON, ECMWF) show skies clearing after Aug 25, allowing efficient nocturnal radiative cooling over Warsaw’s urban heat island while weak NE winds (5–8 km/h) limit mixing and advection of warmer maritime air. Dew points near 10–12 °C support the mid-teens minimum; any increase in cloud cover or wind speed from a slightly stronger high would push readings higher, whereas drier air and calmer conditions could shave a degree or two lower. Historical August climatology (average low ~15 °C) and the recent cool spell (lows 12–14 °C) reinforce the consensus range, leaving the market’s near-equal weighting of the extreme tails (≤7 °C and ≥17 °C) largely as a reflection of residual ensemble spread rather than current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Clear, high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly flow are the main driver keeping the overnight low near 12–15 °C.** Multiple short-range model runs (GFS, ICON, ECMWF) show skies clearing after Aug 25, allowing efficient nocturnal radiative cooling over Warsaw’s urban heat island while weak NE winds (5–8 km/h) limit mixing and advection of warmer maritime air. Dew points near 10–12 °C support the mid-teens minimum; any increase in cloud cover or wind speed from a slightly stronger high would push readings higher, whereas drier air and calmer conditions could shave a degree or two lower. Historical August climatology (average low ~15 °C) and the recent cool spell (lows 12–14 °C) reinforce the consensus range, leaving the market’s near-equal weighting of the extreme tails (≤7 °C and ≥17 °C) largely as a reflection of residual ensemble spread rather than current guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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