Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Warsaw will experience clear to partly cloudy skies on August 28 under a stable high-pressure pattern with southeast winds of 10–16 mph. These conditions favor moderate radiative cooling overnight, with dew points near 11–12°C limiting further drops and supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 13–14°C. Model runs show limited disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any thin high clouds, which could nudge the low by 1–2°C in either direction. Trader odds remain closely matched across the 11–14°C range because small forecast revisions in wind or cloud cover—common this close to the event—could shift the recorded minimum across those thresholds without altering the broader synoptic setup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のワルシャワの最低気温は?
12°C 46%
13°C 45%
11°C 45%
14°C 44%
9°C or below
44%
10°C
43%
11°C
45%
12°C
46%
13°C
45%
14°C
44%
15°C
43%
16°C
44%
17°C
27%
18°C
10%
19°C or higher
10%
12°C 46%
13°C 45%
11°C 45%
14°C 44%
9°C or below
44%
10°C
43%
11°C
45%
12°C
46%
13°C
45%
14°C
44%
15°C
43%
16°C
44%
17°C
27%
18°C
10%
19°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Warsaw will experience clear to partly cloudy skies on August 28 under a stable high-pressure pattern with southeast winds of 10–16 mph. These conditions favor moderate radiative cooling overnight, with dew points near 11–12°C limiting further drops and supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 13–14°C. Model runs show limited disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any thin high clouds, which could nudge the low by 1–2°C in either direction. Trader odds remain closely matched across the 11–14°C range because small forecast revisions in wind or cloud cover—common this close to the event—could shift the recorded minimum across those thresholds without altering the broader synoptic setup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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