Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and Met Office indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 12–15°C on August 27 amid typical late-summer cooling, with clear or partly cloudy skies promoting moderate radiational cooling under light easterly winds. Seasonal trends show daily minimums declining by about 5°F (roughly 3°C) through the month from mid-August peaks, consistent with climatological baselines around 13°C. Model consensus supports minimums in the 11–14°C range, though forecast uncertainty from potential subtle high-pressure influences or measurement site variations could allow cooler outliers. Trader-implied odds reflect this balance, with substantial weight on sub-8°C outcomes alongside the 11–13°C cluster as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
8月27日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
7°C or below 84%
14°C 49%
9°C 48%
10°C 48%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
7°C or below
84%
8°C
43%
9°C
48%
10°C
48%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
48%
14°C
49%
15°C
48%
16°C
48%
17°C or higher
2%
7°C or below 84%
14°C 49%
9°C 48%
10°C 48%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
7°C or below
$0 Vol.
84%
8°C
$0 Vol.
43%
9°C
$0 Vol.
48%
10°C
$0 Vol.
48%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
48%
14°C
$0 Vol.
49%
15°C
$0 Vol.
48%
16°C
$0 Vol.
48%
17°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and Met Office indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 12–15°C on August 27 amid typical late-summer cooling, with clear or partly cloudy skies promoting moderate radiational cooling under light easterly winds. Seasonal trends show daily minimums declining by about 5°F (roughly 3°C) through the month from mid-August peaks, consistent with climatological baselines around 13°C. Model consensus supports minimums in the 11–14°C range, though forecast uncertainty from potential subtle high-pressure influences or measurement site variations could allow cooler outliers. Trader-implied odds reflect this balance, with substantial weight on sub-8°C outcomes alongside the 11–13°C cluster as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and Met Office indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 12–15°C on August 27 amid typical late-summer cooling, with clear or partly cloudy skies promoting moderate radiational cooling under light easterly winds. Seasonal trends show daily minimums declining by about 5°F (roughly 3°C) through the month from mid-August peaks, consistent with climatological baselines around 13°C. Model consensus supports minimums in the 11–14°C range, though forecast uncertainty from potential subtle high-pressure influences or measurement site variations could allow cooler outliers. Trader-implied odds reflect this balance, with substantial weight on sub-8°C outcomes alongside the 11–13°C cluster as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts from sources like the BBC and Met Office indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 12–15°C on August 27 amid typical late-summer cooling, with clear or partly cloudy skies promoting moderate radiational cooling under light easterly winds. Seasonal trends show daily minimums declining by about 5°F (roughly 3°C) through the month from mid-August peaks, consistent with climatological baselines around 13°C. Model consensus supports minimums in the 11–14°C range, though forecast uncertainty from potential subtle high-pressure influences or measurement site variations could allow cooler outliers. Trader-implied odds reflect this balance, with substantial weight on sub-8°C outcomes alongside the 11–13°C cluster as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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