Forecast consensus from European models points to a peak temperature of 27–29°C in Paris on August 26, driving the tight market clustering around those outcomes. A southerly flow is expected to advect mild air northward, yet increasing cloud cover, light showers, and moderate humidity will limit full solar heating and keep maxima near seasonal norms rather than allowing heat buildup. Recent Atlantic trough influence after early-August warmth has introduced variability, with ensemble spreads reflecting minor differences in cloud timing and wind shifts that separate 28°C from 29°C scenarios. Historical August 26 averages near 24°C provide context, but current conditions favor the upper end without extreme anomalies. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のパリの最高気温は？
8月26日のパリの最高気温は？
28°C 38%
29°C 31%
27°C 23%
26°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
23°C or below
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
10%
27°C
23%
28°C
38%
29°C
31%
30°C
10%
31°C
6%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 38%
29°C 31%
27°C 23%
26°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
10%
27°C
$0 Vol.
23%
28°C
$62 Vol.
38%
29°C
$33 Vol.
31%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C
$0 Vol.
6%
32°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from European models points to a peak temperature of 27–29°C in Paris on August 26, driving the tight market clustering around those outcomes. A southerly flow is expected to advect mild air northward, yet increasing cloud cover, light showers, and moderate humidity will limit full solar heating and keep maxima near seasonal norms rather than allowing heat buildup. Recent Atlantic trough influence after early-August warmth has introduced variability, with ensemble spreads reflecting minor differences in cloud timing and wind shifts that separate 28°C from 29°C scenarios. Historical August 26 averages near 24°C provide context, but current conditions favor the upper end without extreme anomalies. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$92終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from European models points to a peak temperature of 27–29°C in Paris on August 26, driving the tight market clustering around those outcomes. A southerly flow is expected to advect mild air northward, yet increasing cloud cover, light showers, and moderate humidity will limit full solar heating and keep maxima near seasonal norms rather than allowing heat buildup. Recent Atlantic trough influence after early-August warmth has introduced variability, with ensemble spreads reflecting minor differences in cloud timing and wind shifts that separate 28°C from 29°C scenarios. Historical August 26 averages near 24°C provide context, but current conditions favor the upper end without extreme anomalies. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$92終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast consensus from European models points to a peak temperature of 27–29°C in Paris on August 26, driving the tight market clustering around those outcomes. A southerly flow is expected to advect mild air northward, yet increasing cloud cover, light showers, and moderate humidity will limit full solar heating and keep maxima near seasonal norms rather than allowing heat buildup. Recent Atlantic trough influence after early-August warmth has introduced variability, with ensemble spreads reflecting minor differences in cloud timing and wind shifts that separate 28°C from 29°C scenarios. Historical August 26 averages near 24°C provide context, but current conditions favor the upper end without extreme anomalies. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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