Recent short-range model guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to overnight lows in Paris on August 26 most likely settling between 17–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow that limits radiational cooling. This consensus, following several days of above-average warmth and increasing humidity, has concentrated trader positions on the 18–20 °C outcomes while still leaving meaningful probability on cooler thresholds if clearer skies or heavier showers develop. Historical August minima average 13.7 °C, but the current pattern favors elevated values; the next 24–48 hours of forecast updates will be the key catalyst for any rebalancing ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のパリの最低気温は？
8月26日のパリの最低気温は？
18°C 50%
19°C 49%
20°C 47%
17°C 39%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
14℃以下
38%
15°C
37%
16°C
37%
17°C
39%
18°C
50%
19°C
49%
20°C
47%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23℃
8%
24°C以上
30%
18°C 50%
19°C 49%
20°C 47%
17°C 39%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
14℃以下
$20 Vol.
38%
15°C
$0 Vol.
37%
16°C
$0 Vol.
37%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C
$0 Vol.
50%
19°C
$0 Vol.
49%
20°C
$0 Vol.
47%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C
$0 Vol.
8%
23℃
$0 Vol.
8%
24°C以上
$20 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to overnight lows in Paris on August 26 most likely settling between 17–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow that limits radiational cooling. This consensus, following several days of above-average warmth and increasing humidity, has concentrated trader positions on the 18–20 °C outcomes while still leaving meaningful probability on cooler thresholds if clearer skies or heavier showers develop. Historical August minima average 13.7 °C, but the current pattern favors elevated values; the next 24–48 hours of forecast updates will be the key catalyst for any rebalancing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$40終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to overnight lows in Paris on August 26 most likely settling between 17–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow that limits radiational cooling. This consensus, following several days of above-average warmth and increasing humidity, has concentrated trader positions on the 18–20 °C outcomes while still leaving meaningful probability on cooler thresholds if clearer skies or heavier showers develop. Historical August minima average 13.7 °C, but the current pattern favors elevated values; the next 24–48 hours of forecast updates will be the key catalyst for any rebalancing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$40終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent short-range model guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to overnight lows in Paris on August 26 most likely settling between 17–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow that limits radiational cooling. This consensus, following several days of above-average warmth and increasing humidity, has concentrated trader positions on the 18–20 °C outcomes while still leaving meaningful probability on cooler thresholds if clearer skies or heavier showers develop. Historical August minima average 13.7 °C, but the current pattern favors elevated values; the next 24–48 hours of forecast updates will be the key catalyst for any rebalancing ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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