Forecasts from major models center the August 28 high in Paris near 22–23 °C under southwest flow and scattered thunderstorms, consistent with a post-heatwave cool-down. Equal 50 % market-implied odds across bins reflect uncertainty in the precise peak: afternoon convective timing, cloud cover, and localized wind gusts can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C either side of the consensus. Historical late-August averages near 24 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns and moisture favor slightly cooler values. Updated runs ahead of the 28th will clarify whether the maximum settles closer to 21 °C or edges toward 24 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のパリの最高気温は?
16°C or below 100%
17°C 100%
18°C 100%
19°C 100%
16°C or below
100%
17°C
100%
18°C
100%
19°C
100%
20°C
100%
21°C
100%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
100%
16°C or below 100%
17°C 100%
18°C 100%
19°C 100%
16°C or below
100%
17°C
100%
18°C
100%
19°C
100%
20°C
100%
21°C
100%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from major models center the August 28 high in Paris near 22–23 °C under southwest flow and scattered thunderstorms, consistent with a post-heatwave cool-down. Equal 50 % market-implied odds across bins reflect uncertainty in the precise peak: afternoon convective timing, cloud cover, and localized wind gusts can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C either side of the consensus. Historical late-August averages near 24 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns and moisture favor slightly cooler values. Updated runs ahead of the 28th will clarify whether the maximum settles closer to 21 °C or edges toward 24 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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