Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs show a cooling trend into August 28, with increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced insolation expected to cap daytime highs near 30–31 °C after 33–35 °C readings on the 26th. Moisture advection ahead of a frontal boundary and lingering effects from upstream disturbances favor convective development that limits peak temperatures, while historical late-August baselines for Tokyo average around 30.3 °C. This scientific setup drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31 °C, with traders weighting the latest forecast updates most heavily ahead of the final model runs and official daily observations used for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日の東京の最高気温は？
8月28日の東京の最高気温は？
31°C 32%
30°C 32%
29°C 18%
32°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
26°C or below
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
18%
30°C
32%
31°C
32%
32°C
15%
33°C
7%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 32%
30°C 32%
29°C 18%
32°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
26°C or below
$39 Vol.
3%
27°C
$22 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C
$0 Vol.
32%
31°C
$0 Vol.
32%
32°C
$0 Vol.
15%
33°C
$0 Vol.
7%
34°C
$0 Vol.
7%
35°C
$22 Vol.
2%
36°C or higher
$293 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs show a cooling trend into August 28, with increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced insolation expected to cap daytime highs near 30–31 °C after 33–35 °C readings on the 26th. Moisture advection ahead of a frontal boundary and lingering effects from upstream disturbances favor convective development that limits peak temperatures, while historical late-August baselines for Tokyo average around 30.3 °C. This scientific setup drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31 °C, with traders weighting the latest forecast updates most heavily ahead of the final model runs and official daily observations used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$371終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs show a cooling trend into August 28, with increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced insolation expected to cap daytime highs near 30–31 °C after 33–35 °C readings on the 26th. Moisture advection ahead of a frontal boundary and lingering effects from upstream disturbances favor convective development that limits peak temperatures, while historical late-August baselines for Tokyo average around 30.3 °C. This scientific setup drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31 °C, with traders weighting the latest forecast updates most heavily ahead of the final model runs and official daily observations used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$371終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs show a cooling trend into August 28, with increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced insolation expected to cap daytime highs near 30–31 °C after 33–35 °C readings on the 26th. Moisture advection ahead of a frontal boundary and lingering effects from upstream disturbances favor convective development that limits peak temperatures, while historical late-August baselines for Tokyo average around 30.3 °C. This scientific setup drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31 °C, with traders weighting the latest forecast updates most heavily ahead of the final model runs and official daily observations used for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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