Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Chengdu on August 29 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, driving tight market odds between 22°C and 25°C. Persistent cloud cover from regional moisture limits radiative cooling under light winds below 10 km/h, while elevated humidity from prior rainfall maintains warmer surface temperatures in this subtropical monsoon climate. Historical baselines show typical August minima near 22–24°C, with current conditions aligning closely to that range amid minimal diurnal swings. Traders weigh small differences in forecast cloud timing and any late showers, which could nudge the official minimum by 1–2°C before midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日の成都の最低気温は?
22°C 97%
24°C 97%
21°C 86%
23°C 66%
$759 Vol.
$759 Vol.
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
86%
22°C
97%
23°C
66%
24°C
97%
25°C
-
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 97%
24°C 97%
21°C 86%
23°C 66%
$759 Vol.
$759 Vol.
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
86%
22°C
97%
23°C
66%
24°C
97%
25°C
-
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Chengdu on August 29 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, driving tight market odds between 22°C and 25°C. Persistent cloud cover from regional moisture limits radiative cooling under light winds below 10 km/h, while elevated humidity from prior rainfall maintains warmer surface temperatures in this subtropical monsoon climate. Historical baselines show typical August minima near 22–24°C, with current conditions aligning closely to that range amid minimal diurnal swings. Traders weigh small differences in forecast cloud timing and any late showers, which could nudge the official minimum by 1–2°C before midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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