Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 31 point to nighttime lows near 12–14°C amid the ongoing wet season, with scattered thunderstorms and high cloud cover expected to limit radiative cooling overnight. Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation typically produces diurnal swings of 10–12°C, but elevated humidity and precipitation—forecast at 3–8 mm—can suppress the daily minimum by enhancing downward longwave radiation and evaporative effects. Official guidance from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional aligns with historical August averages of 12–13°C, though model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact thresholds. With market-implied odds clustered tightly between 10–15°C, traders appear focused on the balance between persistent moisture and any late-day clearing that could allow slightly lower readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のメキシコシティの最低気温は?
7℃以下 59%
10℃ 49%
11°C 49%
16°C 49%
7℃以下
59%
8℃
16%
9°C
32%
10℃
49%
11°C
49%
12°C
25%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
49%
17°C以上
47%
7℃以下 59%
10℃ 49%
11°C 49%
16°C 49%
7℃以下
59%
8℃
16%
9°C
32%
10℃
49%
11°C
49%
12°C
25%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
49%
17°C以上
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 31 point to nighttime lows near 12–14°C amid the ongoing wet season, with scattered thunderstorms and high cloud cover expected to limit radiative cooling overnight. Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation typically produces diurnal swings of 10–12°C, but elevated humidity and precipitation—forecast at 3–8 mm—can suppress the daily minimum by enhancing downward longwave radiation and evaporative effects. Official guidance from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional aligns with historical August averages of 12–13°C, though model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact thresholds. With market-implied odds clustered tightly between 10–15°C, traders appear focused on the balance between persistent moisture and any late-day clearing that could allow slightly lower readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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