Recent official forecasts from sources including ilMeteo.it and European models indicate a high of 29°C for Milan on August 29 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure across the Po Valley. This positions 29–30°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting model consensus on maximum solar insolation and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with late-August climatology for the region. Minor forecast spreads arise from differences in urban heat effects and exact station readings, while probabilities for 31°C or higher remain low absent any intensification signals. Updated guidance through August 27 shows no major shifts, with traders weighting the tight clustering of numerical weather predictions around these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のミラノの最高気温は?
30°C 42%
29°C 29%
31°C 17%
28°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
11%
29°C
29%
30°C
42%
31°C
17%
32°C
10%
33°C or higher
5%
30°C 42%
29°C 29%
31°C 17%
28°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
11%
29°C
29%
30°C
42%
31°C
17%
32°C
10%
33°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from sources including ilMeteo.it and European models indicate a high of 29°C for Milan on August 29 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure across the Po Valley. This positions 29–30°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting model consensus on maximum solar insolation and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with late-August climatology for the region. Minor forecast spreads arise from differences in urban heat effects and exact station readings, while probabilities for 31°C or higher remain low absent any intensification signals. Updated guidance through August 27 shows no major shifts, with traders weighting the tight clustering of numerical weather predictions around these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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