**Recent clearing after widespread rain on August 27–28 has positioned Beijing for mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds on the 29th, supporting a daytime high near the seasonal late-August average of ~29–30°C.** Multiple short-range models converge on afternoon peaks of 30–32°C under building high pressure, with limited cloud cover and dew points dropping into the low 20s helping moderate humidity. Trader sentiment clusters around 31°C (32% implied probability) because official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global ensembles most frequently resolve in that narrow band, while the closely matched 30°C and 32°C shares reflect typical model spread in maximum temperature timing and urban heat-island effects. No anomalous heat advection or blocking patterns are indicated in current guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日の北京の最高気温は?
31°C 32%
32°C 24%
30°C 22%
29°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
12%
30°C
22%
31°C
32%
32°C
24%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
2%
31°C 32%
32°C 24%
30°C 22%
29°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
12%
30°C
22%
31°C
32%
32°C
24%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Recent clearing after widespread rain on August 27–28 has positioned Beijing for mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds on the 29th, supporting a daytime high near the seasonal late-August average of ~29–30°C.** Multiple short-range models converge on afternoon peaks of 30–32°C under building high pressure, with limited cloud cover and dew points dropping into the low 20s helping moderate humidity. Trader sentiment clusters around 31°C (32% implied probability) because official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global ensembles most frequently resolve in that narrow band, while the closely matched 30°C and 32°C shares reflect typical model spread in maximum temperature timing and urban heat-island effects. No anomalous heat advection or blocking patterns are indicated in current guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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