Recent forecasts from multiple models place Guangzhou's peak temperature on August 29 near 34–36°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity, light winds, and a 35–80% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit solar heating. Leading market probabilities cluster on 36–37°C because numerical guidance shows modest day-to-day warming but remains sensitive to exact cloud cover and timing of any convective activity; slight model spreads on these details create the narrow 26%–25% edge between those two bins while keeping 35°C and 38°C viable. Updated runs from regional and global ensembles will refine the outcome ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日の広州の最高気温は？
8月29日の広州の最高気温は？
36°C 27%
37℃ 26%
35℃ 20%
38℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
31°C以下
2%
32℃
3%
33℃
6%
34°C
10%
35℃
20%
36°C
27%
37℃
26%
38℃
14%
39°C
2%
40℃
<1%
41℃以上
2%
36°C 27%
37℃ 26%
35℃ 20%
38℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
31°C以下
$5 Vol.
2%
32℃
$40 Vol.
3%
33℃
$140 Vol.
6%
34°C
$0 Vol.
10%
35℃
$1 Vol.
20%
36°C
$0 Vol.
27%
37℃
$5 Vol.
26%
38℃
$102 Vol.
14%
39°C
$500 Vol.
2%
40℃
$68 Vol.
<1%
41℃以上
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models place Guangzhou's peak temperature on August 29 near 34–36°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity, light winds, and a 35–80% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit solar heating. Leading market probabilities cluster on 36–37°C because numerical guidance shows modest day-to-day warming but remains sensitive to exact cloud cover and timing of any convective activity; slight model spreads on these details create the narrow 26%–25% edge between those two bins while keeping 35°C and 38°C viable. Updated runs from regional and global ensembles will refine the outcome ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$866終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models place Guangzhou's peak temperature on August 29 near 34–36°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity, light winds, and a 35–80% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit solar heating. Leading market probabilities cluster on 36–37°C because numerical guidance shows modest day-to-day warming but remains sensitive to exact cloud cover and timing of any convective activity; slight model spreads on these details create the narrow 26%–25% edge between those two bins while keeping 35°C and 38°C viable. Updated runs from regional and global ensembles will refine the outcome ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$866終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models place Guangzhou's peak temperature on August 29 near 34–36°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity, light winds, and a 35–80% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit solar heating. Leading market probabilities cluster on 36–37°C because numerical guidance shows modest day-to-day warming but remains sensitive to exact cloud cover and timing of any convective activity; slight model spreads on these details create the narrow 26%–25% edge between those two bins while keeping 35°C and 38°C viable. Updated runs from regional and global ensembles will refine the outcome ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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