Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and extensive cloud cover are the dominant factors capping daytime heating in Manila on August 29, favoring maximum temperatures of 28–29 °C. Official PAGASA outlooks and multiple forecast models indicate scattered to heavy thunderstorms throughout the day, with southwest winds and high humidity preventing significant solar warming. A low-pressure area east of northern Luzon is expected to enhance monsoon moisture but is unlikely to develop into a tropical cyclone or alter steering patterns before resolution. Historical August baselines under similar monsoon conditions rarely exceed 30 °C when widespread precipitation occurs. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings through August 28 continue to support this narrow temperature range, with minimal upside risk unless rain clears earlier than anticipated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のマニラの最高気温は?
29℃ 44%
28°C 30%
30℃ 15%
27°C 7%
23°C以下
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
30%
29℃
44%
30℃
15%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C以上
1%
29℃ 44%
28°C 30%
30℃ 15%
27°C 7%
23°C以下
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
30%
29℃
44%
30℃
15%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and extensive cloud cover are the dominant factors capping daytime heating in Manila on August 29, favoring maximum temperatures of 28–29 °C. Official PAGASA outlooks and multiple forecast models indicate scattered to heavy thunderstorms throughout the day, with southwest winds and high humidity preventing significant solar warming. A low-pressure area east of northern Luzon is expected to enhance monsoon moisture but is unlikely to develop into a tropical cyclone or alter steering patterns before resolution. Historical August baselines under similar monsoon conditions rarely exceed 30 °C when widespread precipitation occurs. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings through August 28 continue to support this narrow temperature range, with minimal upside risk unless rain clears earlier than anticipated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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