Recent model consensus from the Met Office and other agencies points to a maximum of 22–23 °C in London on August 28 under southwesterly flow, yet market odds remain evenly balanced because the exact peak hinges on uncertain details of cloud breaks and shower timing. Scattered showers and variable cloud cover can suppress afternoon temperatures by several degrees through reduced solar heating, while any longer sunny intervals would allow surface warming closer to the seasonal norm near 23 °C. Wind speeds around 15–20 mph further mix the boundary layer, limiting localized hotspots. With resolution only 48 hours away, the next model runs and observational updates on frontal progression will determine whether the day stays capped near 21 °C or edges toward 24 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のロンドンの最高気温は?
15°C or below 100%
16°C 100%
17°C 100%
18°C 100%
15°C or below
100%
16°C
100%
17°C
100%
18°C
100%
19°C
100%
20°C
100%
21°C
100%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C or higher
100%
15°C or below 100%
16°C 100%
17°C 100%
18°C 100%
15°C or below
100%
16°C
100%
17°C
100%
18°C
100%
19°C
100%
20°C
100%
21°C
100%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from the Met Office and other agencies points to a maximum of 22–23 °C in London on August 28 under southwesterly flow, yet market odds remain evenly balanced because the exact peak hinges on uncertain details of cloud breaks and shower timing. Scattered showers and variable cloud cover can suppress afternoon temperatures by several degrees through reduced solar heating, while any longer sunny intervals would allow surface warming closer to the seasonal norm near 23 °C. Wind speeds around 15–20 mph further mix the boundary layer, limiting localized hotspots. With resolution only 48 hours away, the next model runs and observational updates on frontal progression will determine whether the day stays capped near 21 °C or edges toward 24 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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