Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a high near 83–85°F in Seattle on August 25, driven by building upper-level ridging that favors sunny to partly cloudy skies and light winds. This pattern supports the tight market split between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins, as small variations in afternoon insolation, marine-layer intrusion, or boundary-layer mixing can shift peak readings by 1–2°F. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance converging on this range rather than cooler onshore flow or hotter downslope warming. Historical August climatology in the region averages highs near 76–79°F, so current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly consistent with the summer outlook. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のシアトルの最高気温は?
84-85°F 34%
82-83°F 33%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 14%
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
6%
96°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 34%
82-83°F 33%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 14%
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
6%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a high near 83–85°F in Seattle on August 25, driven by building upper-level ridging that favors sunny to partly cloudy skies and light winds. This pattern supports the tight market split between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins, as small variations in afternoon insolation, marine-layer intrusion, or boundary-layer mixing can shift peak readings by 1–2°F. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance converging on this range rather than cooler onshore flow or hotter downslope warming. Historical August climatology in the region averages highs near 76–79°F, so current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly consistent with the summer outlook. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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