Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF-influenced runs and GFS show broad consensus for Warsaw reaching a daily maximum of 26–27°C on August 30, driven by building high pressure that favors southerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk. Saturday’s cooler, showery pattern gives way to these warmer conditions as a ridge strengthens, limiting cloud cover and allowing greater daytime heating. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, with only limited upside potential for 28°C if insolation exceeds expectations; lower outcomes near 25°C would require unexpected persistent cloud or a frontal shift not currently indicated. Traders have aligned implied probabilities closely with this model consensus, reflecting the typical skill of short-range forecasts two days ahead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
8月30日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
27°C 44%
26°C 31%
28°C 30%
25°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
19%
26°C
31%
27°C
44%
28°C
30%
29°C
7%
30°C
6%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 44%
26°C 31%
28°C 30%
25°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
21°C or below
$15 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$7 Vol.
31%
27°C
$52 Vol.
44%
28°C
$0 Vol.
30%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$0 Vol.
6%
31°C or higher
$11 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF-influenced runs and GFS show broad consensus for Warsaw reaching a daily maximum of 26–27°C on August 30, driven by building high pressure that favors southerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk. Saturday’s cooler, showery pattern gives way to these warmer conditions as a ridge strengthens, limiting cloud cover and allowing greater daytime heating. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, with only limited upside potential for 28°C if insolation exceeds expectations; lower outcomes near 25°C would require unexpected persistent cloud or a frontal shift not currently indicated. Traders have aligned implied probabilities closely with this model consensus, reflecting the typical skill of short-range forecasts two days ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$85終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF-influenced runs and GFS show broad consensus for Warsaw reaching a daily maximum of 26–27°C on August 30, driven by building high pressure that favors southerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk. Saturday’s cooler, showery pattern gives way to these warmer conditions as a ridge strengthens, limiting cloud cover and allowing greater daytime heating. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, with only limited upside potential for 28°C if insolation exceeds expectations; lower outcomes near 25°C would require unexpected persistent cloud or a frontal shift not currently indicated. Traders have aligned implied probabilities closely with this model consensus, reflecting the typical skill of short-range forecasts two days ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$85終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF-influenced runs and GFS show broad consensus for Warsaw reaching a daily maximum of 26–27°C on August 30, driven by building high pressure that favors southerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk. Saturday’s cooler, showery pattern gives way to these warmer conditions as a ridge strengthens, limiting cloud cover and allowing greater daytime heating. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, with only limited upside potential for 28°C if insolation exceeds expectations; lower outcomes near 25°C would require unexpected persistent cloud or a frontal shift not currently indicated. Traders have aligned implied probabilities closely with this model consensus, reflecting the typical skill of short-range forecasts two days ahead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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