Recent forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a daily maximum of 16–17°C in Cape Town on August 30 under building high pressure and brisk southerly winds that advect cooler maritime air. Clear to partly cloudy skies will allow some solar heating, but the strong pressure gradient and wind speeds near 20–25 km/h limit further warming. This aligns with late-winter climatology for the region while current model runs show little disagreement on the modest peak. Market-implied probabilities favoring 17°C reflect traders weighting the upper end of ensemble guidance and historical variability in maximum temperatures under similar setups, with the narrow spread underscoring limited upside potential absent a rapid shift in steering flow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
8月30日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
17℃ 43%
18°C 30%
16°C 22%
19°C 20%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
12℃以下
<1%
13℃
1%
14°C
7%
15°C
9%
16°C
22%
17℃
43%
18°C
23%
19°C
20%
20°C
8%
21℃
9%
22°C以上
3%
17℃ 43%
18°C 30%
16°C 22%
19°C 20%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
12℃以下
$0 Vol.
<1%
13℃
$0 Vol.
1%
14°C
$38 Vol.
7%
15°C
$5 Vol.
9%
16°C
$36 Vol.
22%
17℃
$548 Vol.
43%
18°C
$43 Vol.
23%
19°C
$0 Vol.
20%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21℃
$10 Vol.
9%
22°C以上
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a daily maximum of 16–17°C in Cape Town on August 30 under building high pressure and brisk southerly winds that advect cooler maritime air. Clear to partly cloudy skies will allow some solar heating, but the strong pressure gradient and wind speeds near 20–25 km/h limit further warming. This aligns with late-winter climatology for the region while current model runs show little disagreement on the modest peak. Market-implied probabilities favoring 17°C reflect traders weighting the upper end of ensemble guidance and historical variability in maximum temperatures under similar setups, with the narrow spread underscoring limited upside potential absent a rapid shift in steering flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$681終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a daily maximum of 16–17°C in Cape Town on August 30 under building high pressure and brisk southerly winds that advect cooler maritime air. Clear to partly cloudy skies will allow some solar heating, but the strong pressure gradient and wind speeds near 20–25 km/h limit further warming. This aligns with late-winter climatology for the region while current model runs show little disagreement on the modest peak. Market-implied probabilities favoring 17°C reflect traders weighting the upper end of ensemble guidance and historical variability in maximum temperatures under similar setups, with the narrow spread underscoring limited upside potential absent a rapid shift in steering flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$681終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a daily maximum of 16–17°C in Cape Town on August 30 under building high pressure and brisk southerly winds that advect cooler maritime air. Clear to partly cloudy skies will allow some solar heating, but the strong pressure gradient and wind speeds near 20–25 km/h limit further warming. This aligns with late-winter climatology for the region while current model runs show little disagreement on the modest peak. Market-implied probabilities favoring 17°C reflect traders weighting the upper end of ensemble guidance and historical variability in maximum temperatures under similar setups, with the narrow spread underscoring limited upside potential absent a rapid shift in steering flow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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