Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature on August 30 most likely between 29–33°C, with model consensus around 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Cloud cover and light precipitation expected from regional moisture in the Sichuan Basin are moderating peak solar heating and surface temperatures, consistent with late-August climatology showing declining highs after midsummer peaks. Minor differences in model runs for timing and extent of afternoon convection explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values, as even small variations in insolation or rainfall could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological services will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日の成都の最高気温は？
8月30日の成都の最高気温は？
32°C 21%
31°C 20%
33°C 19%
30°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
28°C or below
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
13%
31°C
20%
32°C
21%
33°C
19%
34°C
11%
35°C
9%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 21%
31°C 20%
33°C 19%
30°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
28°C or below
$20 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
10%
30°C
$5 Vol.
13%
31°C
$0 Vol.
20%
32°C
$0 Vol.
21%
33°C
$0 Vol.
19%
34°C
$2 Vol.
11%
35°C
$2 Vol.
9%
36°C
$33 Vol.
5%
37°C
$105 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature on August 30 most likely between 29–33°C, with model consensus around 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Cloud cover and light precipitation expected from regional moisture in the Sichuan Basin are moderating peak solar heating and surface temperatures, consistent with late-August climatology showing declining highs after midsummer peaks. Minor differences in model runs for timing and extent of afternoon convection explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values, as even small variations in insolation or rainfall could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological services will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$272終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature on August 30 most likely between 29–33°C, with model consensus around 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Cloud cover and light precipitation expected from regional moisture in the Sichuan Basin are moderating peak solar heating and surface temperatures, consistent with late-August climatology showing declining highs after midsummer peaks. Minor differences in model runs for timing and extent of afternoon convection explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values, as even small variations in insolation or rainfall could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological services will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$272終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature on August 30 most likely between 29–33°C, with model consensus around 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Cloud cover and light precipitation expected from regional moisture in the Sichuan Basin are moderating peak solar heating and surface temperatures, consistent with late-August climatology showing declining highs after midsummer peaks. Minor differences in model runs for timing and extent of afternoon convection explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values, as even small variations in insolation or rainfall could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological services will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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