Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and global models show Shanghai under increasing cloud cover with light rain or showers expected on August 28, limiting solar insolation and capping maximum temperatures near 31–32 °C. Persistent easterly flow and elevated humidity further suppress peak heating compared with the prior clear, hotter days around 33 °C. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities, where 31 °C leads at 54.5 % and 32 °C follows at 22.5 %, reflecting model consensus on modest cooling from precipitation timing and coverage. Resolution hinges on the precise hour of maximum temperature and any late-day clearing, both of which remain sensitive to small shifts in steering patterns over the next 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日の上海の最高気温は？
8月28日の上海の最高気温は？
31°C 55%
32°C 23%
30°C 15%
33°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
15%
31°C
55%
32°C
23%
33°C
7%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
31°C 55%
32°C 23%
30°C 15%
33°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
25°C or below
$91 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$113 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$113 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$10 Vol.
1%
29°C
$423 Vol.
6%
30°C
$1,019 Vol.
15%
31°C
$1,022 Vol.
55%
32°C
$156 Vol.
23%
33°C
$93 Vol.
7%
34°C
$84 Vol.
4%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and global models show Shanghai under increasing cloud cover with light rain or showers expected on August 28, limiting solar insolation and capping maximum temperatures near 31–32 °C. Persistent easterly flow and elevated humidity further suppress peak heating compared with the prior clear, hotter days around 33 °C. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities, where 31 °C leads at 54.5 % and 32 °C follows at 22.5 %, reflecting model consensus on modest cooling from precipitation timing and coverage. Resolution hinges on the precise hour of maximum temperature and any late-day clearing, both of which remain sensitive to small shifts in steering patterns over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$3,129終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and global models show Shanghai under increasing cloud cover with light rain or showers expected on August 28, limiting solar insolation and capping maximum temperatures near 31–32 °C. Persistent easterly flow and elevated humidity further suppress peak heating compared with the prior clear, hotter days around 33 °C. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities, where 31 °C leads at 54.5 % and 32 °C follows at 22.5 %, reflecting model consensus on modest cooling from precipitation timing and coverage. Resolution hinges on the precise hour of maximum temperature and any late-day clearing, both of which remain sensitive to small shifts in steering patterns over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,129終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and global models show Shanghai under increasing cloud cover with light rain or showers expected on August 28, limiting solar insolation and capping maximum temperatures near 31–32 °C. Persistent easterly flow and elevated humidity further suppress peak heating compared with the prior clear, hotter days around 33 °C. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities, where 31 °C leads at 54.5 % and 32 °C follows at 22.5 %, reflecting model consensus on modest cooling from precipitation timing and coverage. Resolution hinges on the precise hour of maximum temperature and any late-day clearing, both of which remain sensitive to small shifts in steering patterns over the next 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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