Current forecast consensus from regional models shows Shanghai's overnight low on August 28 settling near 27–28 °C, aligning with the market's dominant 51 % and 37 % implied probabilities for those exact thresholds. Persistent cloud cover, scattered light rain, and easterly winds of 10–15 km/h are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and suppressing the typical August minimum range of 24–26 °C. Recent model runs have remained stable, with no major shifts in steering patterns or moisture profiles that would push temperatures lower or allow stronger diurnal swings. Traders appear to be weighting the latest short-range guidance heavily, as resolution hinges on official station readings of the calendar-day minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日の上海の最低気温は？
8月28日の上海の最低気温は？
27°C 51%
28°C 37%
24°C 12%
25°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
23°C or below
1%
24°C
12%
25°C
9%
26°C
9%
27°C
51%
28°C
37%
29°C
7%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 37%
24°C 12%
25°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
23°C or below
$22 Vol.
1%
24°C
$63 Vol.
12%
25°C
$0 Vol.
9%
26°C
$0 Vol.
9%
27°C
$0 Vol.
51%
28°C
$6 Vol.
37%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$37 Vol.
4%
31°C
$22 Vol.
1%
32°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$38 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from regional models shows Shanghai's overnight low on August 28 settling near 27–28 °C, aligning with the market's dominant 51 % and 37 % implied probabilities for those exact thresholds. Persistent cloud cover, scattered light rain, and easterly winds of 10–15 km/h are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and suppressing the typical August minimum range of 24–26 °C. Recent model runs have remained stable, with no major shifts in steering patterns or moisture profiles that would push temperatures lower or allow stronger diurnal swings. Traders appear to be weighting the latest short-range guidance heavily, as resolution hinges on official station readings of the calendar-day minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$214終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from regional models shows Shanghai's overnight low on August 28 settling near 27–28 °C, aligning with the market's dominant 51 % and 37 % implied probabilities for those exact thresholds. Persistent cloud cover, scattered light rain, and easterly winds of 10–15 km/h are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and suppressing the typical August minimum range of 24–26 °C. Recent model runs have remained stable, with no major shifts in steering patterns or moisture profiles that would push temperatures lower or allow stronger diurnal swings. Traders appear to be weighting the latest short-range guidance heavily, as resolution hinges on official station readings of the calendar-day minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$214終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecast consensus from regional models shows Shanghai's overnight low on August 28 settling near 27–28 °C, aligning with the market's dominant 51 % and 37 % implied probabilities for those exact thresholds. Persistent cloud cover, scattered light rain, and easterly winds of 10–15 km/h are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and suppressing the typical August minimum range of 24–26 °C. Recent model runs have remained stable, with no major shifts in steering patterns or moisture profiles that would push temperatures lower or allow stronger diurnal swings. Traders appear to be weighting the latest short-range guidance heavily, as resolution hinges on official station readings of the calendar-day minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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