**Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models converge on a minimum temperature of 28°C for Shanghai on August 27, 2026, under persistent cloudy skies, light rain, and moderate northeast winds that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple sources, including Shanghai-specific updates, project daytime highs near 32–33°C with lows holding at or just above 28°C amid high humidity and dew points around 25–27°C. This strong consensus, reinforced by recent model runs showing stable warm advection, underpins the market's overwhelming 98.2% implied probability for 28°C. Unusually clear conditions or sharper-than-expected wind shifts could allow temperatures to dip to 27°C, though current observational trends and forecast stability make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日の上海の最低気温は?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$22,181 Vol.
$22,181 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$22,181 Vol.
$22,181 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
**Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models converge on a minimum temperature of 28°C for Shanghai on August 27, 2026, under persistent cloudy skies, light rain, and moderate northeast winds that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple sources, including Shanghai-specific updates, project daytime highs near 32–33°C with lows holding at or just above 28°C amid high humidity and dew points around 25–27°C. This strong consensus, reinforced by recent model runs showing stable warm advection, underpins the market's overwhelming 98.2% implied probability for 28°C. Unusually clear conditions or sharper-than-expected wind shifts could allow temperatures to dip to 27°C, though current observational trends and forecast stability make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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