**Forecast models from multiple sources, including ECMWF, GFS, and local meteorological services, converge on a daily maximum of 25–26°C for Istanbul on August 29, 2026, driven by persistent northerly winds and increased cloud cover with rain chances of 50–65%.** These conditions limit daytime solar heating compared to typical late-August norms of 28–30°C. Current observations on August 28 show patchy rain and temperatures peaking near 25°C under similar northerly flow, setting up continuity into the next day. This atmospheric pattern—cooler maritime air advection from the Black Sea combined with modest precipitation—explains why the market assigns the highest implied probabilities to 24°C (47.5%) and 25°C (31.5%). Resolution will depend on official measurements from stations such as those monitored by the Turkish State Meteorological Service, with any late-day clearing or wind shifts potentially pushing readings toward the upper end of the range. Updated model runs overnight on the 28th will provide the final guidance before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
8月29日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
24°C 48%
25°C 32%
23°C 16%
26°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
16%
24°C
48%
25°C
32%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 48%
25°C 32%
23°C 16%
26°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
19°C or below
$42 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$219 Vol.
1%
22°C
$72 Vol.
1%
23°C
$660 Vol.
16%
24°C
$514 Vol.
48%
25°C
$648 Vol.
32%
26°C
$515 Vol.
5%
27°C
$181 Vol.
2%
28°C
$161 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$162 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including ECMWF, GFS, and local meteorological services, converge on a daily maximum of 25–26°C for Istanbul on August 29, 2026, driven by persistent northerly winds and increased cloud cover with rain chances of 50–65%.** These conditions limit daytime solar heating compared to typical late-August norms of 28–30°C. Current observations on August 28 show patchy rain and temperatures peaking near 25°C under similar northerly flow, setting up continuity into the next day.
This atmospheric pattern—cooler maritime air advection from the Black Sea combined with modest precipitation—explains why the market assigns the highest implied probabilities to 24°C (47.5%) and 25°C (31.5%). Resolution will depend on official measurements from stations such as those monitored by the Turkish State Meteorological Service, with any late-day clearing or wind shifts potentially pushing readings toward the upper end of the range. Updated model runs overnight on the 28th will provide the final guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$3,244終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including ECMWF, GFS, and local meteorological services, converge on a daily maximum of 25–26°C for Istanbul on August 29, 2026, driven by persistent northerly winds and increased cloud cover with rain chances of 50–65%.** These conditions limit daytime solar heating compared to typical late-August norms of 28–30°C. Current observations on August 28 show patchy rain and temperatures peaking near 25°C under similar northerly flow, setting up continuity into the next day.
This atmospheric pattern—cooler maritime air advection from the Black Sea combined with modest precipitation—explains why the market assigns the highest implied probabilities to 24°C (47.5%) and 25°C (31.5%). Resolution will depend on official measurements from stations such as those monitored by the Turkish State Meteorological Service, with any late-day clearing or wind shifts potentially pushing readings toward the upper end of the range. Updated model runs overnight on the 28th will provide the final guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,244終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources, including ECMWF, GFS, and local meteorological services, converge on a daily maximum of 25–26°C for Istanbul on August 29, 2026, driven by persistent northerly winds and increased cloud cover with rain chances of 50–65%.** These conditions limit daytime solar heating compared to typical late-August norms of 28–30°C. Current observations on August 28 show patchy rain and temperatures peaking near 25°C under similar northerly flow, setting up continuity into the next day. This atmospheric pattern—cooler maritime air advection from the Black Sea combined with modest precipitation—explains why the market assigns the highest implied probabilities to 24°C (47.5%) and 25°C (31.5%). Resolution will depend on official measurements from stations such as those monitored by the Turkish State Meteorological Service, with any late-day clearing or wind shifts potentially pushing readings toward the upper end of the range. Updated model runs overnight on the 28th will provide the final guidance before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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