**Trader consensus heavily favors 21°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Istanbul on August 29, 2026, reflecting model consensus from global and regional forecasts.** Current conditions feature north-northeasterly winds, moderate humidity around 60-80%, and patchy cloud cover with light showers or drizzle, which limit radiative cooling overnight. Official outlooks from sources aligned with GFS and local meteorological guidance project an overnight minimum near 19-21°C (roughly 66-70°F), consistent with late-August climatology adjusted for a cooler-than-normal air mass that has kept daytime highs in the mid-20s°C. This skin-in-the-game positioning accounts for typical forecast uncertainty of ±1-2°C. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected clear skies promoting additional cooling or an official station reading falling to 20°C or below due to localized effects, though updated model runs show limited divergence at this stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
8月29日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
21°C 94%
17°C 2%
18°C 2%
20°C 2%
$1,181 Vol.
$1,181 Vol.
2026/08/29
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
35%
20°C
18%
21°C
94%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 94%
17°C 2%
18°C 2%
20°C 2%
$1,181 Vol.
$1,181 Vol.
2026/08/29
15°C or below
$215 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$85 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$32 Vol.
2%
18°C
$95 Vol.
2%
19°C
$35 Vol.
35%
20°C
$30 Vol.
18%
21°C
$350 Vol.
94%
22°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$43 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 21°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Istanbul on August 29, 2026, reflecting model consensus from global and regional forecasts.**
Current conditions feature north-northeasterly winds, moderate humidity around 60-80%, and patchy cloud cover with light showers or drizzle, which limit radiative cooling overnight. Official outlooks from sources aligned with GFS and local meteorological guidance project an overnight minimum near 19-21°C (roughly 66-70°F), consistent with late-August climatology adjusted for a cooler-than-normal air mass that has kept daytime highs in the mid-20s°C.
This skin-in-the-game positioning accounts for typical forecast uncertainty of ±1-2°C. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected clear skies promoting additional cooling or an official station reading falling to 20°C or below due to localized effects, though updated model runs show limited divergence at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$1,181終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 21°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Istanbul on August 29, 2026, reflecting model consensus from global and regional forecasts.**
Current conditions feature north-northeasterly winds, moderate humidity around 60-80%, and patchy cloud cover with light showers or drizzle, which limit radiative cooling overnight. Official outlooks from sources aligned with GFS and local meteorological guidance project an overnight minimum near 19-21°C (roughly 66-70°F), consistent with late-August climatology adjusted for a cooler-than-normal air mass that has kept daytime highs in the mid-20s°C.
This skin-in-the-game positioning accounts for typical forecast uncertainty of ±1-2°C. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected clear skies promoting additional cooling or an official station reading falling to 20°C or below due to localized effects, though updated model runs show limited divergence at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,181終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 21°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Istanbul on August 29, 2026, reflecting model consensus from global and regional forecasts.** Current conditions feature north-northeasterly winds, moderate humidity around 60-80%, and patchy cloud cover with light showers or drizzle, which limit radiative cooling overnight. Official outlooks from sources aligned with GFS and local meteorological guidance project an overnight minimum near 19-21°C (roughly 66-70°F), consistent with late-August climatology adjusted for a cooler-than-normal air mass that has kept daytime highs in the mid-20s°C. This skin-in-the-game positioning accounts for typical forecast uncertainty of ±1-2°C. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected clear skies promoting additional cooling or an official station reading falling to 20°C or below due to localized effects, though updated model runs show limited divergence at this stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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