Official National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami indicate overnight lows of 80–82°F on August 31, driven by persistent easterly flow, high dew points near 78°F, and scattered nocturnal thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading 80–81°F bin at 35% implied probability while supporting secondary weight on 78–79°F. Warmer outcomes above 84°F receive lower trader support consistent with the absence of atypical warming mechanisms or stalled fronts. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through the weekend will provide the next key data points for any model shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のマイアミの最低気温は?
82~83°F 47%
74〜75°F 43%
76〜77°F 43%
84〜85°F 43%
73°F以下
17%
74〜75°F
43%
76〜77°F
43%
78〜79°F
23%
80〜81°F
35%
82~83°F
47%
84〜85°F
43%
86〜87°F
43%
88〜89°F
37%
90〜91°F
37%
92°F以上
15%
82~83°F 47%
74〜75°F 43%
76〜77°F 43%
84〜85°F 43%
73°F以下
17%
74〜75°F
43%
76〜77°F
43%
78〜79°F
23%
80〜81°F
35%
82~83°F
47%
84〜85°F
43%
86〜87°F
43%
88〜89°F
37%
90〜91°F
37%
92°F以上
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami indicate overnight lows of 80–82°F on August 31, driven by persistent easterly flow, high dew points near 78°F, and scattered nocturnal thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading 80–81°F bin at 35% implied probability while supporting secondary weight on 78–79°F. Warmer outcomes above 84°F receive lower trader support consistent with the absence of atypical warming mechanisms or stalled fronts. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through the weekend will provide the next key data points for any model shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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