Recent forecasts from MetService and aligned models indicate mainly fine conditions on August 29 under northwesterly winds, supporting a daytime maximum near 14°C after Friday’s rain clears. Late-winter climatology in Wellington typically features highs around 13–15°C, with northerly flow advecting milder maritime air and clear skies permitting modest daytime warming, though strong gusts can limit surface heating. Recent model consensus and observational trends from the past week show temperatures running slightly above seasonal averages, contributing to trader emphasis on 15°C as the implied-probability leader while leaving room for 14°C or 16°C depending on exact wind timing and cloud cover. Updated official guidance remains the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のウェリントンの最高気温は?
15°C 56%
14°C 22%
16°C 20%
17°C 5%
$19,381 Vol.
$19,381 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
22%
15°C
56%
16°C
20%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 56%
14°C 22%
16°C 20%
17°C 5%
$19,381 Vol.
$19,381 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
22%
15°C
56%
16°C
20%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from MetService and aligned models indicate mainly fine conditions on August 29 under northwesterly winds, supporting a daytime maximum near 14°C after Friday’s rain clears. Late-winter climatology in Wellington typically features highs around 13–15°C, with northerly flow advecting milder maritime air and clear skies permitting modest daytime warming, though strong gusts can limit surface heating. Recent model consensus and observational trends from the past week show temperatures running slightly above seasonal averages, contributing to trader emphasis on 15°C as the implied-probability leader while leaving room for 14°C or 16°C depending on exact wind timing and cloud cover. Updated official guidance remains the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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