National Weather Service forecasts indicate partly cloudy conditions over San Francisco on August 27 with a high near 73°F, consistent with the balanced market odds favoring 72–75°F bins. Onshore southwest to west winds of 10–20 mph, a persistent marine layer, and variable afternoon cloud cover limit daytime heating along the coast, keeping readings below inland values. Recent high-pressure ridging has produced modest warming, but the eastern Pacific trough is expected to strengthen by Friday, reinforcing cooler marine influence. Model consensus shows limited spread around the low-to-mid 70s, with resolution hinging on precise timing of stratus burn-off and peak wind speeds measured at official stations. Historical August coastal averages near 70°F provide context for why traders see meaningful probability across several adjacent temperature brackets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は?
74〜75°F 28%
72〜73°F 27%
76〜77°F 20%
70~71°F 19%
華氏65度以下
1%
66〜67°F
2%
68~69°F
2%
70~71°F
19%
72〜73°F
27%
74〜75°F
28%
76〜77°F
20%
78~79°F
7%
80~81°F
3%
82〜83°F
1%
華氏84度以上
<1%
74〜75°F 28%
72〜73°F 27%
76〜77°F 20%
70~71°F 19%
華氏65度以下
1%
66〜67°F
2%
68~69°F
2%
70~71°F
19%
72〜73°F
27%
74〜75°F
28%
76〜77°F
20%
78~79°F
7%
80~81°F
3%
82〜83°F
1%
華氏84度以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts indicate partly cloudy conditions over San Francisco on August 27 with a high near 73°F, consistent with the balanced market odds favoring 72–75°F bins. Onshore southwest to west winds of 10–20 mph, a persistent marine layer, and variable afternoon cloud cover limit daytime heating along the coast, keeping readings below inland values. Recent high-pressure ridging has produced modest warming, but the eastern Pacific trough is expected to strengthen by Friday, reinforcing cooler marine influence. Model consensus shows limited spread around the low-to-mid 70s, with resolution hinging on precise timing of stratus burn-off and peak wind speeds measured at official stations. Historical August coastal averages near 70°F provide context for why traders see meaningful probability across several adjacent temperature brackets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問