Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts point to a high near 68–72°F for San Francisco on August 26, driven by persistent onshore southwest flow and a strengthening marine layer that caps daytime warming along the immediate coast. This setup favors the 70–73°F range historically observed in late August, when average highs reach about 69.6°F. Trader emphasis on the 74–77°F bins reflects lingering uncertainty over exact boundary-layer mixing and potential brief clearing, though model consensus and recent observations (highs mostly 65–75°F this month) limit upside risk. Resolution hinges on the official downtown maximum reported by NOAA.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は?
76〜77°F 32%
74~75°F 27%
78〜79°F 17%
72〜73°F 15%
華氏69度以下
1%
70~71°F
1%
72〜73°F
15%
74~75°F
27%
76〜77°F
32%
78〜79°F
17%
80~81°F
9%
82~83°F
1%
84〜85°F
3%
86〜87°F
<1%
88°F以上
<1%
76〜77°F 32%
74~75°F 27%
78〜79°F 17%
72〜73°F 15%
華氏69度以下
1%
70~71°F
1%
72〜73°F
15%
74~75°F
27%
76〜77°F
32%
78〜79°F
17%
80~81°F
9%
82~83°F
1%
84〜85°F
3%
86〜87°F
<1%
88°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts point to a high near 68–72°F for San Francisco on August 26, driven by persistent onshore southwest flow and a strengthening marine layer that caps daytime warming along the immediate coast. This setup favors the 70–73°F range historically observed in late August, when average highs reach about 69.6°F. Trader emphasis on the 74–77°F bins reflects lingering uncertainty over exact boundary-layer mixing and potential brief clearing, though model consensus and recent observations (highs mostly 65–75°F this month) limit upside risk. Resolution hinges on the official downtown maximum reported by NOAA.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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