Traders see the narrow spread between 98–99°F (37.5% implied probability) and 100–101°F (31.0%) as evidence of modest forecast uncertainty for Dallas’s August 27 high. National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show a weak upper-level ridge and light southerly flow that should limit extreme heating, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing could push the daily maximum across the 100°F threshold. Late-August climatology for the region centers near 96–98°F, providing a baseline that current guidance slightly exceeds. The next model cycle and updated temperature observations will be the key catalysts that resolve the 45–55% range between these two bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日のダラスの最高気温は？
8月27日のダラスの最高気温は？
98-99°F 46%
100-101°F 27%
96-97°F 16%
94-95°F 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
93°F or below
5%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
46%
100-101°F
27%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
4%
112°F or higher
4%
98-99°F 46%
100-101°F 27%
96-97°F 16%
94-95°F 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
93°F or below
$17 Vol.
5%
94-95°F
$23 Vol.
10%
96-97°F
$10 Vol.
16%
98-99°F
$161 Vol.
46%
100-101°F
$60 Vol.
27%
102-103°F
$36 Vol.
5%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
4%
106-107°F
$0 Vol.
4%
108-109°F
$0 Vol.
4%
110-111°F
$0 Vol.
4%
112°F or higher
$20 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the narrow spread between 98–99°F (37.5% implied probability) and 100–101°F (31.0%) as evidence of modest forecast uncertainty for Dallas’s August 27 high. National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show a weak upper-level ridge and light southerly flow that should limit extreme heating, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing could push the daily maximum across the 100°F threshold. Late-August climatology for the region centers near 96–98°F, providing a baseline that current guidance slightly exceeds. The next model cycle and updated temperature observations will be the key catalysts that resolve the 45–55% range between these two bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
音量
$327終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the narrow spread between 98–99°F (37.5% implied probability) and 100–101°F (31.0%) as evidence of modest forecast uncertainty for Dallas’s August 27 high. National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show a weak upper-level ridge and light southerly flow that should limit extreme heating, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing could push the daily maximum across the 100°F threshold. Late-August climatology for the region centers near 96–98°F, providing a baseline that current guidance slightly exceeds. The next model cycle and updated temperature observations will be the key catalysts that resolve the 45–55% range between these two bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$327終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETTraders see the narrow spread between 98–99°F (37.5% implied probability) and 100–101°F (31.0%) as evidence of modest forecast uncertainty for Dallas’s August 27 high. National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show a weak upper-level ridge and light southerly flow that should limit extreme heating, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing could push the daily maximum across the 100°F threshold. Late-August climatology for the region centers near 96–98°F, providing a baseline that current guidance slightly exceeds. The next model cycle and updated temperature observations will be the key catalysts that resolve the 45–55% range between these two bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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