Forecast models from the National Weather Service and others indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Denver on August 27 with light winds, supporting strong overnight radiative cooling typical of the region's high-elevation, arid late-summer conditions. This setup favors a minimum in the low 60s°F, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 60-63°F outcomes. Slight differences in projected cloud timing, wind mixing, or thunderstorm remnants could easily shift readings by 2-4°F across official stations, explaining why several adjacent ranges each hold 25-32% implied probability and why no single bin exceeds one-third. Traders weigh historical diurnal ranges against the latest model runs ahead of the evening temperature drop.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日のデンバーの最低気温は?
60-61°F 34%
62-63°F 29%
68-69°F 28%
58-59°F 27%
51°F or below
3%
52-53°F
9%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
25%
58-59°F
27%
60-61°F
34%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
28%
70°F or higher
3%
60-61°F 34%
62-63°F 29%
68-69°F 28%
58-59°F 27%
51°F or below
3%
52-53°F
9%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
25%
58-59°F
27%
60-61°F
34%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
28%
70°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and others indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Denver on August 27 with light winds, supporting strong overnight radiative cooling typical of the region's high-elevation, arid late-summer conditions. This setup favors a minimum in the low 60s°F, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 60-63°F outcomes. Slight differences in projected cloud timing, wind mixing, or thunderstorm remnants could easily shift readings by 2-4°F across official stations, explaining why several adjacent ranges each hold 25-32% implied probability and why no single bin exceeds one-third. Traders weigh historical diurnal ranges against the latest model runs ahead of the evening temperature drop.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問