Recent official forecasts from the National Weather Service indicate a Thursday low near 78°F for Dallas, with other models projecting mid-70s to low-80s amid partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds after daytime highs near 100°F. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 75–81°F ranges because overnight radiative cooling rates depend sensitively on cloud cover, dew-point suppression from northerly flow, and any residual moisture from scattered afternoon convection. Historical climatology shows typical August 27 minima near 76°F, so the narrow spread in implied probabilities reflects model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of clearing rather than a major pattern shift. Updated NWS guidance and evening observations on the 26th remain the next key inputs before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日のダラスの最低気温は?
80~81°F 44%
75°F以下 43%
78〜79°F 43%
82〜83°F 43%
75°F以下
43%
76~77°F
21%
78〜79°F
43%
80~81°F
44%
82〜83°F
43%
84~85°F
42%
86〜87°F
16%
88~89°F
5%
90〜91°F
7%
92~93°F
6%
94°F以上
1%
80~81°F 44%
75°F以下 43%
78〜79°F 43%
82〜83°F 43%
75°F以下
43%
76~77°F
21%
78〜79°F
43%
80~81°F
44%
82〜83°F
43%
84~85°F
42%
86〜87°F
16%
88~89°F
5%
90〜91°F
7%
92~93°F
6%
94°F以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the National Weather Service indicate a Thursday low near 78°F for Dallas, with other models projecting mid-70s to low-80s amid partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds after daytime highs near 100°F. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 75–81°F ranges because overnight radiative cooling rates depend sensitively on cloud cover, dew-point suppression from northerly flow, and any residual moisture from scattered afternoon convection. Historical climatology shows typical August 27 minima near 76°F, so the narrow spread in implied probabilities reflects model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of clearing rather than a major pattern shift. Updated NWS guidance and evening observations on the 26th remain the next key inputs before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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